Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 7/13/2019
Saturday, July 13, 2019
Oriole Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. John Means
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (27-62, 5th in AL East) host the Tampa Bay Rays (52-39, 2nd in AL East) at Oriole Park on Saturday, July 13, 2019. The Rays open this matchup at -168 while the Orioles are coming in at +158. The total opens at 9.
The Rays have been very good for MLB bettors, having gone 52-39-0 SU. Baltimore covers 30.3% of the time, going 27-62-0 straight up. The Rays have been very good for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 41-29-0 SU. Baltimore has went 25-60-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 29.4% of the time.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have been a less than ideal Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 38-46-7.
The Rays are covering 60.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 26-17-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles are covering 26.2% of the time at Oriole Park, going 11-31-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a hot and cold Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 44-39-6.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/11/2019 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/11/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/10/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/3/2019 Ji-Man Choi 1B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
6/29/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/8/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/8/2019 Mychal Givens RP Undisclosed Probable for Jul 12
7/2/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 52-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 10-2 record with an earned run average of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 142 strikeouts over his 112.2 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 420 hitters and walked 153 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.32. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 686 base hits and 306 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 267 batters and struck out 878. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.55.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Rays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Tommy Pham is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .379. He has 91 hits this season in 324 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .460 and an OPS+ of 123. Austin Meadows is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 41 men in 273 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .502. The Rays have 803 hits, including 161 doubles and 112 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 296 times so far this season and they have struck out 860 times as a unit. They have left 656 men on base and have a team OPS of .749. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 415 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 27-62 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.50, John Means has a 7-4 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 67 hits. He's allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.21 and they have given up 377 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 345 batters and walked 166 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 831 base knocks and 487 earned runs this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 320 hitters and struck out 683 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.66.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 25th in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .326. He has 88 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 340 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 99. Trey Mancini is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 95 hits in 327 at bats while driving in 40 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .517. The Orioles as a unit have 732 base hits, including 139 doubles and 108 homers. Baltimore has walked 243 times this year and they have struck out on 805 occasions. They have had 576 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 375 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays -168
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