Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 7/30/2019
Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. David Price
Avisail Garcia and the Tampa Bay Rays (60-48, 2nd in AL East) go to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (59-48, 3rd in AL East). The Red Sox open this matchup at -143 while the Rays are priced at +133. The over/under is set at 9.
The Rays have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 60-48-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 55.1% of the time, going 59-48-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 50-38-0 SU. Tampa Bay has went 12-15-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 44.4% of the time.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have been a pretty good Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 46-54-8.
The Rays are covering 59.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 32-22-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston covers 52.9% of the time at Fenway Park, going 27-24-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a strong Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 63-41-3.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/28/2019 Avisail Garcia RF Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/28/2019 Tommy Pham LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/28/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/28/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/26/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/25/2019 Blake Snell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
7/25/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/21/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/21/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/27/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 60-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 12-3 record with an earned run average of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.04 this season. He has 163 strikeouts over his 131.1 innings pitched and he's given up 96 hits. He's allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 498 hitters and walked 182 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 831 base hits and 387 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 313 batters and struck out 1,048. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.68.
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .253, good for 12th in the league. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Avisail Garcia is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 96 hits this season in 352 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .435 and an OPS+ of 103. Austin Meadows is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 327 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Rays have 950 hits, including 197 doubles and 139 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 358 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,021 times as a unit. They have left 767 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 499 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 59-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.66, David Price has a 7-4 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 114 strikeouts over the 98.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 90 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 380 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 483 batters and walked 189 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 942 base knocks and 502 earned runs this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 369 hitters and struck out 1,082 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.9 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .329 with an OBP of .381. He has 138 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 420 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .579 with an OPS+ of 144. J.D. Martinez is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 114 hits in 389 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .532. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,057 base hits, including 235 doubles and 163 homers. Boston has walked 402 times this year and they have struck out on 899 occasions. They have had 782 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They have scored 5.85 runs per game and totaled 626 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -143
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