Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks 6/7/2019

Friday, June 7, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yonny Chirinos vs. Rick Porcello

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (32-29, 3rd in AL East) host the Tampa Bay Rays (36-23, 2nd in AL East) at Fenway Park on Friday, June 7, 2019. The odds on this game have the Rays coming in at +120 and the Red Sox are at -130. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Rays have been an excellent choice for baseball bettors, having gone 36-23-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 52.5% of the time, going 32-29-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a pretty good choice for bettors as the favorite, going 28-24-0 SU. Tampa Bay is covering 72.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 8-3-0 straight up.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been an inconsistent Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 26-29-4.

Tampa Bay is covering 67.9% of the time on the road, having gone 19-9-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox cover 53.8% of the time at Fenway Park, going 14-12-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a strong Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 34-25-2.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

6/5/2019 Tommy Pham LF Lower Leg Probable for Jun 6
6/5/2019 Joey Wendle 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Michael Perez C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/2/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/30/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
5/26/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
5/20/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
4/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/5/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
6/2/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/30/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/30/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 9
5/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 36-23 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yonny Chirinos has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.25 and a WHIP of 0.95 this season. He has 49 strikeouts over his 61 innings pitched and he's given up 47 hits. He's allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.32. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 228 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 263 hitters and walked 103 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 431 base hits and 180 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 174 batters and struck out 572. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.35.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .258, good for 6th in the league. The Rays hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .354 with an on-base percentage of .430. He has 58 hits this season in 164 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .659 and an OPS+ of 189. Brandon Lowe is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 55 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 202 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .510. The Rays have 527 hits, including 109 doubles and 75 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 214 times so far this season and they have struck out 557 times as a unit. They have left 439 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 277 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 32-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.76, Rick Porcello has a 4-5 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 68 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 72 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 190 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 257 batters and walked 97 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 488 base knocks and 264 earned runs this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 197 hitters and struck out 595 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 5th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .370. He has 63 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 214 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 132. Mookie Betts is hitting .270 this season and he has an OBP of .384. He has collected 63 hits in 233 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 119 and a slugging percentage of .451. The Red Sox as a unit have 555 base hits, including 116 doubles and 88 homers. Boston has walked 244 times this year and they have struck out on 501 occasions. They have had 439 men left on base and have an OPS of .786. They have scored 5.43 runs per game and totaled 331 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays +120

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