Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks 6/9/2019

Sunday, June 9, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Blake Snell vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Fenway Park is the site where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (33-30, 3rd in AL East) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (38-23, 2nd in AL East) on Sunday. The Rays open this matchup at -120 while the Red Sox are priced at +110. The over/under is set at 9.

The Rays have been lousy for oddsmakers, having gone 38-23-0 SU. Boston covers 52.4% of the time, going 33-30-0 straight up. The Rays have been lousy for oddsmakers as favorites, going 29-20-0 SU. Boston covers 44.4% of the time as the underdog, having gone 4-5-0 straight up.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been a good Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 26-31-4.

Tampa Bay covers 70.0% of the time on the road, having gone 21-9-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 51.8% of the time at Fenway Park, going 14-13-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been an excellent Over play for O/U wagerers, having gone 35-26-2.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

6/5/2019 Joey Wendle 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Michael Perez C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/2/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/30/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
5/26/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
5/20/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
4/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/7/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/7/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Probable for Jun 8
6/7/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
6/7/2019 J.D DH Back Probable for Jun 8
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/5/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/30/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 9
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
5/23/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 38-23 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Blake Snell has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 91 strikeouts over his 66 innings pitched and he's given up 54 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.07. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 236 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 269 hitters and walked 105 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.95. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 443 base hits and 182 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 178 batters and struck out 586. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 3.30.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .260, good for 5th in the league. The Rays hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .345 with an on-base percentage of .418. He has 60 hits this season in 174 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .632 and an OPS+ of 178. Brandon Lowe is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 57 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 206 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Rays have 551 hits, including 113 doubles and 80 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 217 times so far this season and they have struck out 575 times as a unit. They have left 452 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 288 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 33-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.88, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 6-3 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 66.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 201 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 272 batters and walked 98 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 512 base knocks and 274 earned runs this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 199 hitters and struck out 615 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .296 with an OBP of .371. He has 64 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 216 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .528 with an OPS+ of 133. Mookie Betts is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 64 hits in 239 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .456. The Red Sox as a unit have 568 base hits, including 119 doubles and 89 homers. Boston has walked 252 times this year and they have struck out on 516 occasions. They have had 451 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 5.38 runs per game and totaled 339 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays -120

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