Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 7/31/2019
Wednesday, July 31, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Ryan Yarbrough vs. Rick Porcello
Fenway Park is the site where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (59-48, 3rd in AL East) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (60-48, 2nd in AL East) on Wednesday. The Rays open this contest at +128 while the Red Sox are coming in at -138. The total is set at 9.
The Rays have been great for wagerers, having gone 60-48-0 SU. Boston covers 55.1% of the time, going 59-48-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been great for wagerers as a favorite, going 50-38-0 SU. The Rays cover 44.4% of the time as the underdog, having gone 12-15-0 straight up.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have been a dicey Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 46-54-8.
The Rays cover 59.3% of the time as a visitor, having gone 32-22-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox cover 52.9% of the time at Fenway Park, going 27-24-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a bad Under choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 63-41-3.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/29/2019 Blake Snell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
7/29/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/28/2019 Avisail Garcia RF Illness Probable for Jul 30
7/28/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/28/2019 Tommy Pham LF Hand Probable for Jul 30
7/28/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/26/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/25/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/21/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/27/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 60-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryan Yarbrough has a 9-3 record with an earned run average of 3.78 and a WHIP of 0.93 this season. He has 62 strikeouts over his 81 innings pitched and he's given up 63 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 498 hitters and walked 182 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 831 base hits and 387 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 313 batters and struck out 1,048. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.68.
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .253, good for 12th in the league. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 94 hits this season in 327 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 131. Avisail Garcia is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 96 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 352 at bats. His OPS+ is 103 while his slugging percentage is at .435. The Rays have 950 hits, including 197 doubles and 139 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 358 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,021 times as a unit. They have left 767 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 499 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 59-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.55, Rick Porcello has a 9-7 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 92 strikeouts over the 116.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 136 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 380 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 483 batters and walked 189 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 942 base knocks and 502 earned runs this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 369 hitters and struck out 1,082 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.9 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .363. He has 114 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 389 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .532 with an OPS+ of 128. Rafael Devers is hitting .329 this season and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 138 hits in 420 at bats while driving in 82 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .579. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,057 base hits, including 235 doubles and 163 homers. Boston has walked 402 times this year and they have struck out on 899 occasions. They have had 782 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They have scored 5.85 runs per game and totaled 626 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays +128
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Tony Sink
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks