Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks & Predictions 6/25/2019
Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Blake Snell vs. Kyle Gibson
Target Field is the site where Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (50-27, 1st in AL Central) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (45-33, 2nd in AL East) on Tuesday. The Twins open this game at -120 while the Rays are coming in at -103. The O/U has been set at 9.
The Rays have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 45-33-0 SU. The Twins are covering 64.9% of the time, going 50-27-0 straight up. The Twins have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 33-17-0 SU. Tampa Bay covers 58.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 10-7-0 straight up.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have been an awful Over play for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 32-41-5.
Tampa Bay covers 62.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 25-15-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
Minnesota covers 64.9% of the time at Target Field, going 24-13-0 SU.
The Twins have been a hot and cold Under play for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 40-33-4.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/23/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/22/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
6/22/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/19/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 23
6/11/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/30/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
6/23/2019 Mitch Garver C Heel Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/23/2019 Jonathan Schoop 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/22/2019 Jose Berrios SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/20/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/19/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/18/2019 Ehire Adrianza 3B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/18/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 45-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Blake Snell has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.24 this season. He has 101 strikeouts over his 75.2 innings pitched and he's given up 66 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 311 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 340 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.2. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 574 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 232 batters and struck out 726. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .341. He has 72 hits this season in 255 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 130. Austin Meadows is hitting .304 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 70 hits and he has driven in 41 men in 230 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .552. The Rays have 697 hits, including 137 doubles and 97 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 259 times so far this season and they have struck out 729 times as a unit. They have left 568 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 359 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 50-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.18, Kyle Gibson has a 7-4 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 79.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 78 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 253 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 654 base knocks and 304 earned runs this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 219 hitters and struck out 660 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .502 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .383. He has 98 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 301 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .542 with an OPS+ of 145. Eddie Rosario is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 81 hits in 301 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 114 and a slugging percentage of .518. The Twins as a unit have 731 base hits, including 163 doubles and 147 homers. Minnesota has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out on 606 occasions. They have had 531 men left on base and have an OPS of .840. They have scored 5.71 runs per game and totaled 440 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays -103
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