Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks & Predictions 6/26/2019

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. Jake Odorizzi

Eddie Rosario and the Minnesota Twins (50-27, 1st in AL Central) play the Tampa Bay Rays (45-33, 2nd in AL East) at Target Field on Wednesday, June 26, 2019. The Twins open this contest at -115 while the Rays are coming in at +105. The over/under opens at 9.5.

The Rays have been an excellent choice for wagerers, having gone 45-33-0 SU. Minnesota is covering 64.9% of the time, going 50-27-0 straight up. The Twins have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 33-17-0 SU. Tampa Bay has went 10-7-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 58.8% of the time.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been an awful Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 32-41-5.

Tampa Bay is covering 62.5% of the time as a visitor, having gone 25-15-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota is covering 64.9% of the time at Target Field, going 24-13-0 SU.

The Twins have been a less than ideal Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 40-33-4.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

6/24/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/24/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
6/24/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/24/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
6/22/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
5/30/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/23/2019 Jonathan Schoop 2B Ankle Probable for Jun 25
6/23/2019 Mitch Garver C Heel Probable for Jun 25
6/22/2019 Jose Berrios SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/20/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/19/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/18/2019 Ehire Adrianza 3B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/18/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 25

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 45-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 8-1 record with an earned run average of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 113 strikeouts over his 93.2 innings pitched and he's given up 63 hits. He's allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 311 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 340 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.2. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 574 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 232 batters and struck out 726. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .259, good for 10th in the league. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 70 hits this season in 230 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .552 and an OPS+ of 145. Brandon Lowe is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 72 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 255 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Rays have 697 hits, including 137 doubles and 97 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 259 times so far this season and they have struck out 729 times as a unit. They have left 568 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 359 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 50-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.58, Jake Odorizzi has a 10-3 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 80.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He's allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 253 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 654 base knocks and 304 earned runs this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 219 hitters and struck out 660 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .502 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Eddie Rosario comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .300. He has 81 hits this year along with 57 RBI in 301 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .518 with an OPS+ of 113. Jorge Polanco is hitting .326 this season and he has an OBP of .383. He has collected 98 hits in 301 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 145 and a slugging percentage of .542. The Twins as a unit have 731 base hits, including 163 doubles and 147 homers. Minnesota has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out on 606 occasions. They have had 531 men left on base and have an OPS of .840. They have scored 5.71 runs per game and totaled 440 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays +105

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