Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks & Predictions 6/27/2019

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ryne Stanek vs. Martin Perez

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (51-27, 1st in AL Central) play the Tampa Bay Rays (45-34, 2nd in AL East) at Target Field on Thursday, June 27, 2019. The Twins open this game at -112 while the Rays are coming in at +102. The over/under has been set at 9.5.

The Rays have been a great pick for baseball wagerers, having gone 45-34-0 SU. The Twins cover 65.4% of the time, going 51-27-0 straight up. The Twins have been a great pick for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 33-17-0 SU. Tampa Bay covers 58.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 10-7-0 straight up.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been an excellent Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 33-41-5.

Tampa Bay covers 61.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 25-16-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 65.8% of the time at Target Field, going 25-13-0 SU.

The Twins have been an excellent Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 41-33-4.

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Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/24/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/24/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
6/19/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
5/30/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/25/2019 Ehire Adrianza 3B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/25/2019 Max Kepler RF Elbow Probable for Jun 26
6/25/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/22/2019 Jose Berrios SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/20/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/19/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 45-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryne Stanek has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 2.47 and a WHIP of 1.12 this season. He has 47 strikeouts over his 43.2 innings pitched and he's given up 31 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 343 hitters and walked 132 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.28. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 589 base hits and 259 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 234 batters and struck out 733. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.16 and their FIP as a unit is 3.61.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 73 hits this season in 259 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .537 and an OPS+ of 130. Austin Meadows is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 70 hits and he has driven in 41 men in 233 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .545. The Rays have 704 hits, including 139 doubles and 98 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 260 times so far this season and they have struck out 737 times as a unit. They have left 572 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 363 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 51-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.28, Martin Perez has a 7-3 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 82 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 80 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 254 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 661 base knocks and 308 earned runs this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 220 hitters and struck out 668 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .504 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .383. He has 99 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 304 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 144. Eddie Rosario is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 85 hits in 306 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .526. The Twins as a unit have 746 base hits, including 165 doubles and 149 homers. Minnesota has walked 241 times this year and they have struck out on 613 occasions. They have had 538 men left on base and have an OPS of .843. They have scored 5.76 runs per game and totaled 449 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays +102

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