Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees MLB Picks & Predictions 7/18/2019
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. J.A. Happ
Austin Meadows and the Tampa Bay Rays (56-41, 2nd in AL East) travel to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (60-33, 1st in AL East). The Yankees open this contest at -107 while the Rays are priced at -103. The over/under opens at 9.5.
The Rays have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 56-41-0 SU. New York covers 64.5% of the time, going 60-33-0 straight up. The Yankees have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 53-22-0 SU. Tampa Bay has went 12-11-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 52.2% of the time.
Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have been an inconsistent Over bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 41-48-8.
Tampa Bay covers 61.2% of the time away from home, having gone 30-19-0 straight up.
Important New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees are covering 68.0% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 34-16-0 SU.
The Yankees have been a great Over bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 49-40-4.
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/17/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/15/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/11/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Key New York Yankees Injuries
7/15/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/12/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/30/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/27/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rays have a 56-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 11-2 record with an earned run average of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.04 this season. He has 148 strikeouts over his 118.2 innings pitched and he's given up 86 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 390 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 452 hitters and walked 162 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.36. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 727 base hits and 329 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 280 batters and struck out 940. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.14 and their FIP as a unit is 3.59.
As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Rays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 82 hits this season in 281 at bats with 43 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .512 and an OPS+ of 132. Tommy Pham is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 97 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 345 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .470. The Rays have 864 hits, including 176 doubles and 128 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 311 times so far this season and they have struck out 909 times as a unit. They have left 688 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 456 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 60-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.93, J.A. Happ has a 7-5 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 95 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 97 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 400 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 787 base knocks and 373 earned runs this season. They have given up 137 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 275 hitters and struck out 865 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Yankees hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. DJ LeMahieu comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .378. He has 117 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 353 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 132. Gleyber Torres is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 92 hits in 315 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .524. The Yankees as a unit have 839 base hits, including 143 doubles and 157 homers. New York has walked 343 times this year and they have struck out on 828 occasions. They have had 608 men left on base and have an OPS of .804. They have scored 5.63 runs per game and totaled 524 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rays/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays -103
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