Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks 7/27/2019

Saturday, July 27, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jalen Beeks vs. Ryan Borucki

Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (39-65, 4th in AL East) host the Tampa Bay Rays (58-47, 2nd in AL East) at Rogers Centre on Saturday, July 27, 2019. The Blue Jays open this game at +120 while the Rays are coming in at -130. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Rays have been lousy for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 58-47-0 SU. Toronto covers 37.5% of the time, going 39-65-0 straight up. The Rays have been a very good choice for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 46-32-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 33.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 25-50-0 straight up.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been a hot and cold Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 44-53-8.

The Rays cover 58.8% of the time away from home, having gone 30-21-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

Toronto covers 37.2% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 19-32-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 50-51-3.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

7/25/2019 Blake Snell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
7/25/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/22/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/21/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/21/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/20/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Justin Shafer RP Elbow Probable for Jul 26
7/22/2019 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 58-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jalen Beeks has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 58 strikeouts over his 68.1 innings pitched and he's given up 66 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 478 hitters and walked 171 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.46. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 799 base hits and 367 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 1,016. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.60.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Austin Meadows is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 90 hits this season in 315 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 130. Tommy Pham is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 102 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 376 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .457. The Rays have 912 hits, including 190 doubles and 134 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 346 times so far this season and they have struck out 989 times as a unit. They have left 744 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 477 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 39-65 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.86, Ryan Borucki has a 0-1 record and a 2.36 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 4.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 7 hits. He's allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 404 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 456 batters and walked 180 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 951 base knocks and 493 earned runs this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 382 hitters and struck out 851 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.80.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .303. He has 103 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 385 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .442 with an OPS+ of 98. Eric Sogard is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 84 hits in 281 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .480. The Blue Jays as a unit have 809 base hits, including 158 doubles and 143 homers. Toronto has walked 316 times this year and they have struck out on 942 occasions. They have had 625 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.29 runs per game and totaled 446 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays -130

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