» MLB Picks » Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks 7/28/2019

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks 7/28/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 7/27/2019

Sunday, July 28, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yonny Chirinos vs. Aaron Sanchez

Rogers Centre is the site where Eric Sogard and the Toronto Blue Jays (39-66, 4th in AL East) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (59-47, 2nd in AL East) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays priced at -131 and the Blue Jays are at +121. The over/under has been set at 9.5.

The Rays have been lousy for oddsmakers, having gone 59-47-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 37.1% of the time, going 39-66-0 straight up. The Rays have been lousy for oddsmakers as favorites, going 47-32-0 SU. Toronto has went 25-51-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 32.9% of the time.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been a terrible Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 44-54-8.

The Rays cover 59.6% of the time as the visitor, having gone 31-21-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 36.5% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 19-33-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 50-52-3.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

7/26/2019 Kevin Kiermaier CF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/25/2019 Blake Snell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
7/25/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/21/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/21/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/20/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/15/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/13/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/11/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

7/26/2019 Justin Shafer RP Elbow Probable for Jul 27
7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/22/2019 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 59-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yonny Chirinos has a 8-5 record with an earned run average of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.02 this season. He has 102 strikeouts over his 117.2 innings pitched and he's given up 96 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 484 hitters and walked 174 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 803 base hits and 368 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 302 batters and struck out 1,023. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Tommy Pham is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 103 hits this season in 379 at bats with 45 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .456 and an OPS+ of 120. Austin Meadows is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 91 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 318 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Rays have 921 hits, including 192 doubles and 134 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 349 times so far this season and they have struck out 993 times as a unit. They have left 751 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 39-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.06, Aaron Sanchez has a 3-14 record and a 1.72 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 107 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 125 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 407 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 458 batters and walked 180 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 960 base knocks and 496 earned runs this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 385 hitters and struck out 855 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Eric Sogard comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .363. He has 84 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 281 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .480 with an OPS+ of 126. Freddy Galvis is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .302. He has collected 104 hits in 389 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .442. The Blue Jays as a unit have 813 base hits, including 160 doubles and 143 homers. Toronto has walked 319 times this year and they have struck out on 949 occasions. They have had 630 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 447 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays -131

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less