Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ryan Yarbrough vs. Trent Thornton

Rogers Centre is the venue where Justin Smoak and the Toronto Blue Jays (65-94, 4th in AL East) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (95-64, 2nd in AL East) on Saturday. The Rays open this matchup at -175 while the Blue Jays are priced at +165. The total is set at 10.5.

The Rays have been very good for MLB bettors, having gone 95-64-0 SU. The Blue Jays are covering 40.9% of the time, going 65-94-0 straight up.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have been a good Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 77-73-9.

Tampa Bay is covering 60.3% of the time away from home, having gone 47-31-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays are covering 42.3% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 33-45-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a good Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 74-78-7.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/25/2019 Ji-Man Choi 1B Foot Probable for Sep 27
9/24/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Out for the season
9/23/2019 Eric Sogard 2B Foot Out for the season
9/11/2019 Hoby Milner RP Neck Out for the season
9/5/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Elbow Out for the season
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/25/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Chest Out for the season
9/24/2019 Bo Bichette SS Concussion Probable for Sep 27
9/24/2019 Anthony Kay SP Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/18/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 95-64 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryan Yarbrough has a 11-5 record with an earned run average of 4.08 and a WHIP of 0.98 this season. He has 114 strikeouts over his 136.2 innings pitched and he's given up 116 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 653 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 807 hitters and walked 258 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 1,251 base hits and 584 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 443 batters and struck out 1,592. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.65.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Rays hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Tommy Pham is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 152 hits this season in 556 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .446 and an OPS+ of 118. Austin Meadows is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 153 hits and he has driven in 88 men in 522 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .559. The Rays have 1,405 hits, including 286 doubles and 213 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 531 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,459 times as a unit. They have left 1,108 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 759 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 65-94 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.00, Trent Thornton has a 5-9 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 141 strikeouts over the 149.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 155 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 665 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 721 batters and walked 315 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,428 base knocks and 758 earned runs this season. They have given up 224 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 593 hitters and struck out 1,298 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.85.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Justin Smoak comes into this matchup batting .204 with an OBP of .339. He has 83 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 407 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .400 with an OPS+ of 98. Randal Grichuk is hitting .235 this season and he has an OBP of .284. He has collected 135 hits in 575 at bats while driving in 79 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .461. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,276 base hits, including 262 doubles and 243 homers. Toronto has walked 499 times this year and they have struck out on 1,485 occasions. They have had 984 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They have scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 712 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays (-175)

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