Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/12/2019

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance Lynn vs. Rick Porcello

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (34-33, 3rd in AL East) play the Texas Rangers (35-30, 2nd in AL West) at Fenway Park on Wednesday, June 12, 2019. The Rangers open this contest at +167 while the Red Sox are priced at -177. The O/U has been set at 10.

The Rangers have been a good option for MLB wagerers, having gone 35-30-0 SU. Boston covers 50.7% of the time, going 34-33-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as the favorite, going 30-26-0 SU. The Rangers cover 47.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-24-0 straight up.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a solid Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 32-32-1.

The Rangers cover 37.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-18-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 48.4% of the time at Fenway Park, going 15-16-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a great Over bet for over/under bettors, having gone 36-29-2.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

6/7/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/7/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/6/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/4/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/2/2019 Joey Gallo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/29/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/1/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/9/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/9/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 13
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/9/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/8/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 35-30 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance Lynn has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 85 strikeouts over his 80 innings pitched and he's given up 84 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.80 and they have given up 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 233 hitters and walked 112 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 614 base hits and 313 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 240 batters and struck out 539. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.66.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Rangers hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nomar Mazara is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .319. He has 63 hits this season in 236 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .445 and an OPS+ of 95. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 66 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 229 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .520. The Rangers have 578 hits, including 133 doubles and 92 home runs. Texas has walked 234 times so far this season and they have struck out 633 times as a unit. They have left 435 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 5.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 368 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 34-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.86, Rick Porcello has a 4-6 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 74 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 80 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 291 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 553 base knocks and 292 earned runs this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 209 hitters and struck out 664 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .378. He has 66 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 219 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .530 with an OPS+ of 137. Mookie Betts is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .386. He has collected 68 hits in 254 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Red Sox as a unit have 597 base hits, including 126 doubles and 91 homers. Boston has walked 264 times this year and they have struck out on 555 occasions. They have had 478 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 5.22 runs per game and totaled 350 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers +167

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