Texas Rangers at Houston Astros MLB Point Spread Picks 7/21/2019

Sunday, July 21, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance Lynn vs. Rogelio Armenteros

Minute Maid Park is the site where Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (62-37, 1st in AL West) will take on the Texas Rangers (50-47, 3rd in AL West) on Sunday. The Rangers open this contest at +138 while the Astros are priced at -148. The O/U has been set at 10.

The Rangers have been a decent bet for bettors, having gone 50-47-0 SU. Houston covers 62.6% of the time, going 62-37-0 straight up. The Astros have been a very good bet for baseball bettors as favorites, going 60-32-0 SU. The Rangers are covering 45.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 32-38-0 straight up.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a less than ideal Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 47-48-2.

Texas covers 42.2% of the time on the road, having gone 19-26-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros are covering 70.8% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 34-14-0 SU.

The Astros have been a less than ideal Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 44-51-4.

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

7/19/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/17/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/16/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/13/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/12/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/11/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/28/2019 Jeffrey Springs RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Key Houston Astros Injuries

7/15/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/14/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 50-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance Lynn has a 12-5 record with an earned run average of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 140 strikeouts over his 128 innings pitched and he's given up 128 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 392 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 355 hitters and walked 165 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.02. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 918 base hits and 484 earned runs. They have allowed 145 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 342 batters and struck out 829. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .251, good for 18th in the league. The Rangers hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Elvis Andrus is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .331. He has 103 hits this season in 353 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .431 and an OPS+ of 93. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 98 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 344 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .494. The Rangers have 835 hits, including 195 doubles and 139 home runs. Texas has walked 341 times so far this season and they have struck out 981 times as a unit. They have left 640 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 5.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 518 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 62-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.00, Rogelio Armenteros has a 0-0 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 9 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 8 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 365 batters and walked 126 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 746 base knocks and 385 earned runs this season. They have given up 150 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 284 hitters and struck out 998 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Astros hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .321 with an OBP of .381. He has 116 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 361 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 134. George Springer is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .391. He has collected 80 hits in 263 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 160 and a slugging percentage of .605. The Astros as a unit have 917 base hits, including 185 doubles and 159 homers. Houston has walked 379 times this year and they have struck out on 700 occasions. They have had 709 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They have scored 5.19 runs per game and totaled 514 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rangers +138

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