Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins MLB Tips 7/6/2019
Saturday, July 6, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jesse Chavez vs. Michael Pineda
Target Field is the venue where Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (54-32, 1st in AL Central) will take on the Texas Rangers (47-40, 3rd in AL West) on Saturday. The line on this game has the Rangers priced at +155 and the Twins are at -165. The total is set at 10.5.
The Rangers have been hot and cold for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 47-40-0 SU. Minnesota covers 62.8% of the time, going 54-32-0 straight up. The Twins have been a great play for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 36-21-0 SU. The Rangers cover 47.5% of the time as the underdog, having gone 29-32-0 straight up.
Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Rangers have been a hot and cold Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 40-45-2.
Texas covers 43.9% of the time away from home, having gone 18-23-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins cover 65.0% of the time at Target Field, going 26-14-0 SU.
The Twins have been a dicey Under bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 44-37-5.
Key Texas Rangers Injuries
7/2/2019 Hunter Pence DH Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/1/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/1/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/28/2019 Jeffrey Springs RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
6/20/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/20/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/19/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/15/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/4/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Toe Probable for Jul 5
7/3/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
6/28/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Rangers have a 47-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jesse Chavez has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 56 strikeouts over his 57.2 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 310 hitters and walked 145 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 802 base hits and 408 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 305 batters and struck out 735. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.70.
As a team Texas is hitting .254, good for 14th in the league. The Rangers hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .375. He has 86 hits this season in 308 at bats with 34 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .481 and an OPS+ of 118. Elvis Andrus is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 97 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 315 at bats. His OPS+ is 103 while his slugging percentage is at .454. The Rangers have 753 hits, including 180 doubles and 120 home runs. Texas has walked 308 times so far this season and they have struck out 866 times as a unit. They have left 575 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 471 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 54-32 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.78, Michael Pineda has a 5-4 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 86.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 88 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 290 batters and walked 113 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 730 base knocks and 342 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 746 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .313 with an OBP of .371. He has 107 hits this year along with 40 RBI in 342 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .515 with an OPS+ of 134. Max Kepler is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 82 hits in 309 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .537. The Twins as a unit have 824 base hits, including 176 doubles and 161 homers. Minnesota has walked 262 times this year and they have struck out on 690 occasions. They have had 592 men left on base and have an OPS of .828. They have scored 5.65 runs per game and totaled 486 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Rangers/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -165
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