Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves Expert MLB Picks 9/2/2019

Monday, September 2, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jacob Waguespack vs. Mike Soroka

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (55-82, 4th in AL East) are headed to SunTrust Park on Monday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (83-54, 1st in NL East). The Blue Jays open this contest at +199 while the Braves are coming in at -240. The total opens at 9.5.

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent bet for bettors, having gone 55-82-0 SU. The Braves cover 60.6% of the time, going 83-54-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a good Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 63-68-6.

Toronto is covering 40.6% of the time on the road, having gone 28-41-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves cover 60.3% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 41-27-0 SU.

The Braves have been a good Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 67-63-7.

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Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/1/2019 Derek Fisher LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
9/1/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/27/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/1/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/27/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/20/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 55-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob Waguespack has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 42 strikeouts over his 55 innings pitched and he's given up 52 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 557 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 602 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,226 base hits and 639 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 520 batters and struck out 1,112. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.85.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .234 with an on-base percentage of .288. He has 116 hits this season in 495 at bats with 60 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .434 and an OPS+ of 90. Justin Smoak is hitting .216 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 365 at bats. His OPS+ is 107 while his slugging percentage is at .416. The Blue Jays have 1,103 hits, including 226 doubles and 208 home runs. Toronto has walked 430 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,245 times as a unit. They have left 845 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 612 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 83-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.44, Mike Soroka has a 10-3 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 113 strikeouts over the 147.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 128 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 499 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,230 base knocks and 582 earned runs this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 485 hitters and struck out 1,176 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .367. He has 158 hits this year along with 92 RBI in 553 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .519 with an OPS+ of 123. Freddie Freeman is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .390. He has collected 156 hits in 525 at bats while driving in 109 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .568. The Braves as a unit have 1,237 base hits, including 240 doubles and 214 homers. Atlanta has walked 510 times this year and they have struck out on 1,221 occasions. They have had 967 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They have scored 5.37 runs per game and totaled 736 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves (-240)

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