Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves Expert MLB Picks 9/3/2019

Tuesday, September 3, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sean Reid-Foley vs. Mike Foltynewicz

SunTrust Park is the venue where Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (84-54, 1st in NL East) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (55-83, 4th in AL East) on Tuesday. The Blue Jays open this game at +180 while the Braves are priced at -215. The over/under has been set at 10.5.

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent play for baseball wagerers, having gone 55-83-0 SU. The Braves cover 60.9% of the time, going 84-54-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a pretty good Over option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 63-69-6.

Toronto is covering 40.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 28-41-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

Atlanta is covering 60.9% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 42-27-0 SU.

The Braves have been a pretty good Over option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 67-64-7.

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Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/1/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Derek Fisher LF Ankle Probable for Sep 2
9/1/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/27/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/1/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
9/1/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Quadriceps Probable for Sep 2
9/1/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/24/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 55-83 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sean Reid-Foley has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.71 this season. He has 28 strikeouts over his 31.2 innings pitched and he's given up 33 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 561 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,231 base hits and 641 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 521 batters and struck out 1,121. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.84.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .236, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .215 with an on-base percentage of .353. He has 79 hits this season in 368 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .413 and an OPS+ of 105. Randal Grichuk is hitting .233 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .287. He has totaled 116 hits and he has driven in 60 men in 498 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .432. The Blue Jays have 1,103 hits, including 226 doubles and 208 home runs. Toronto has walked 431 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,259 times as a unit. They have left 846 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 612 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 84-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.59, Mike Foltynewicz has a 4-5 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 79 strikeouts over the 87 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 94 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 483 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 502 batters and walked 222 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,235 base knocks and 585 earned runs this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 490 hitters and struck out 1,184 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .393. He has 159 hits this year along with 114 RBI in 529 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .580 with an OPS+ of 144. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 158 hits in 556 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Braves as a unit have 1,243 base hits, including 241 doubles and 216 homers. Atlanta has walked 512 times this year and they have struck out on 1,229 occasions. They have had 969 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They have scored 5.37 runs per game and totaled 741 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves (-215)

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