Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 8/1/2019
Thursday, August 1, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Ryan Borucki vs. Asher Wojciechowski
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (36-71, 5th in AL East) host the Toronto Blue Jays (42-67, 4th in AL East) at Oriole Park on Thursday, August 1, 2019. The Orioles open this matchup at +141 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -151. The total has been set at 9.5.
The Blue Jays have been a bad pick for MLB bettors, having gone 42-67-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 33.6% of the time, going 36-71-0 straight up. The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal bet for MLB bettors as favorites, going 14-15-0 SU. Baltimore has went 34-69-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 33.0% of the time.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 54-52-3.
Toronto is covering 40.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 22-33-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles cover 29.4% of the time at Oriole Park, going 15-36-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a hot and cold Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 52-46-9.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/30/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/28/2019 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/27/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/30/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/29/2019 John Means SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/27/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 42-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryan Borucki has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 10.80 and a WHIP of 3.15 this season. He has 6 strikeouts over his 6.2 innings pitched and he's given up 15 hits. He's allowed 20.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 8.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 430 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 479 hitters and walked 190 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,005 base hits and 519 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 402 batters and struck out 897. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.
As a team Toronto is hitting .233, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .340. He has 77 hits this season in 265 at bats with 45 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .574 and an OPS+ of 139. Justin Smoak is hitting .215 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 63 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 293 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .427. The Blue Jays have 862 hits, including 166 doubles and 155 home runs. Toronto has walked 338 times so far this season and they have struck out 989 times as a unit. They have left 665 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 482 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 36-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.60, Asher Wojciechowski has a 2-3 record and a 0.93 WHIP. He has 37 strikeouts over the 30 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 20 hits. He's allowing 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.90 and they have given up 454 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 417 batters and walked 203 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.55. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 998 base knocks and 585 earned runs this season. They have given up 207 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 381 hitters and struck out 828 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.68.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Orioles hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .325. He has 110 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 419 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .418 with an OPS+ of 97. Trey Mancini is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 112 hits in 397 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .534. The Orioles as a unit have 903 base hits, including 161 doubles and 135 homers. Baltimore has walked 288 times this year and they have struck out on 985 occasions. They have had 695 men left on base and have an OPS of .712. They have scored 4.39 runs per game and totaled 470 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +141
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