» MLB Picks » Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 8/3/2019

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 8/3/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 8/2/2019

Saturday, August 3, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Thomas Pannone vs. Dylan Bundy

Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (44-67, 4th in AL East) are headed to Oriole Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Baltimore Orioles (36-72, 5th in AL East).

The Blue Jays have been terrible for MLB bettors, having gone 44-67-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 33.3% of the time, going 36-72-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 55-53-3.

The Blue Jays are covering 42.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 24-33-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles are covering 28.8% of the time at Oriole Park, going 15-37-0 SU.

The Orioles have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 53-46-9.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

8/1/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/1/2019 Randal Grichuk CF Mouth Probable for Aug 2
8/1/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Knee Probable for Aug 2
7/31/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/27/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

8/1/2019 Asher Wojciechowski SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
8/1/2019 Hanser Alberto 2B Lower Leg Probable for Aug 2
8/1/2019 Stevie Wilkerson CF Knee Probable for Aug 2
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/30/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/29/2019 John Means SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 44-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Thomas Pannone has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 5.98 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 47 strikeouts over his 49.2 innings pitched and he's given up 48 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 433 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 485 hitters and walked 190 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,016 base hits and 522 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 404 batters and struck out 907. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.74.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .235, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .299. He has 109 hits this season in 413 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .436 and an OPS+ of 94. Randal Grichuk is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .290. He has totaled 92 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 397 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .418. The Blue Jays have 885 hits, including 171 doubles and 162 home runs. Toronto has walked 347 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,007 times as a unit. They have left 682 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 497 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 36-72 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.24, Dylan Bundy has a 5-11 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 105 strikeouts over the 103 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 105 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.98 and they have given up 462 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 423 batters and walked 205 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.6. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,012 base knocks and 596 earned runs this season. They have given up 212 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 386 hitters and struck out 839 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .325. He has 111 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 423 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .416 with an OPS+ of 96. Trey Mancini is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 113 hits in 401 at bats while driving in 56 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .539. The Orioles as a unit have 912 base hits, including 161 doubles and 136 homers. Baltimore has walked 288 times this year and they have struck out on 990 occasions. They have had 701 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 472 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less