Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 8/4/2019
Sunday, August 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Sean Reid-Foley vs. Tom Eshelman
Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (45-67, 4th in AL East) are headed to Oriole Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Baltimore Orioles (36-73, 5th in AL East).
The Blue Jays have been a terrible option for baseball bettors, having gone 45-67-0 SU. Baltimore covers 33.0% of the time, going 36-73-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a pretty good Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 55-54-3.
The Blue Jays cover 43.1% of the time on the road, having gone 25-33-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles cover 28.3% of the time at Oriole Park, going 15-38-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a pretty good Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 53-47-9.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
8/3/2019 Justin Shafer RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/3/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/2/2019 Randal Grichuk CF Mouth Probable for Aug 3
8/1/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/27/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/2/2019 Hanser Alberto 2B Lower Leg Probable for Aug 3
8/2/2019 Stevie Wilkerson CF Knee Probable for Aug 3
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Asher Wojciechowski SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/30/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/29/2019 John Means SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 45-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sean Reid-Foley has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 16 strikeouts over his 17.2 innings pitched and he's given up 15 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 439 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 490 hitters and walked 194 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,023 base hits and 524 earned runs. They have allowed 153 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 408 batters and struck out 914. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.74.
As a team Toronto is hitting .235, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .232 with an on-base percentage of .290. He has 92 hits this season in 397 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 87. Freddy Galvis is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 417 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .446. The Blue Jays have 893 hits, including 173 doubles and 164 home runs. Toronto has walked 351 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,013 times as a unit. They have left 688 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 502 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 36-73 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.35, Tom Eshelman has a 0-2 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 22.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 28 hits. He's allowing 11.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.97 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 425 batters and walked 206 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,020 base knocks and 601 earned runs this season. They have given up 214 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 390 hitters and struck out 845 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.72.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 25th in the league. The Orioles hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .342. He has 113 hits this year along with 56 RBI in 405 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 128. Jonathan Villar is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 112 hits in 427 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .417. The Orioles as a unit have 919 base hits, including 162 doubles and 137 homers. Baltimore has walked 292 times this year and they have struck out on 997 occasions. They have had 710 men left on base and have an OPS of .710. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 474 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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