Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 9/17/2019

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trent Thornton vs. Dylan Bundy

Oriole Park is the venue where Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (49-100, 5th in AL East) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (59-91, 4th in AL East) on Tuesday. The Orioles open this game at +115 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -125. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold bet for baseball wagerers, having gone 59-91-0 SU. Baltimore covers 32.9% of the time, going 49-100-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a decent Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 68-75-7.

Toronto covers 37.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 28-47-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles are covering 30.7% of the time at Oriole Park, going 23-52-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a decent Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 73-65-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/16/2019 Jordan Romano RP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/14/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 59-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trent Thornton has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.46 this season. He has 134 strikeouts over his 139.1 innings pitched and he's given up 147 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 609 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 665 hitters and walked 294 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,335 base hits and 700 earned runs. They have allowed 205 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 562 batters and struck out 1,214. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.81.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .235, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .207 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 81 hits this season in 391 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .396 and an OPS+ of 99. Randal Grichuk is hitting .235 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .284. He has totaled 127 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 541 at bats. His OPS+ is 93 while his slugging percentage is at .455. The Blue Jays have 1,193 hits, including 248 doubles and 223 home runs. Toronto has walked 468 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,386 times as a unit. They have left 924 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 658 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 49-100 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.99, Dylan Bundy has a 6-14 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 148 strikeouts over the 149.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 153 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.87 and they have given up 642 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 572 batters and walked 270 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.68. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,427 base knocks and 832 earned runs this season. They have given up 283 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 516 hitters and struck out 1,140 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .343. He has 160 hits this year along with 67 RBI in 580 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .452 with an OPS+ of 109. Trey Mancini is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 153 hits in 551 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .517. The Orioles as a unit have 1,257 base hits, including 227 doubles and 190 homers. Baltimore has walked 414 times this year and they have struck out on 1,320 occasions. They have had 960 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They have scored 4.4 runs per game and totaled 655 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles (+115)

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