Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 9/18/2019

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Dylan Bundy

Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (49-101, 5th in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (59-91, 4th in AL East) at Oriole Park on Wednesday, September 18, 2019. The Orioles open this matchup at -105 while the Blue Jays are priced at -105. The total has been set at 10.

The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold play for wagerers, having gone 59-91-0 SU. The Orioles cover 32.7% of the time, going 49-101-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a solid Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 68-75-7.

Toronto is covering 37.3% of the time away from home, having gone 28-47-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore is covering 30.7% of the time at Oriole Park, going 23-52-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a solid Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 73-66-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/16/2019 Jordan Romano RP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/14/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/16/2019 Renato Nunez DH Hand
9/16/2019 Mark Trumbo DH Back Probable for Sep 17
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 59-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 25 strikeouts over his 46.1 innings pitched and he's given up 52 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 609 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 665 hitters and walked 294 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,334 base hits and 699 earned runs. They have allowed 205 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 562 batters and struck out 1,214. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.81.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .235, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .207 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 81 hits this season in 391 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .396 and an OPS+ of 99. Randal Grichuk is hitting .235 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .284. He has totaled 127 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 541 at bats. His OPS+ is 93 while his slugging percentage is at .455. The Blue Jays have 1,193 hits, including 248 doubles and 223 home runs. Toronto has walked 468 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,386 times as a unit. They have left 924 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 658 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 49-101 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.99, Dylan Bundy has a 6-14 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 148 strikeouts over the 149.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 153 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.85 and they have given up 643 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 574 batters and walked 271 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.68. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,434 base knocks and 837 earned runs this season. They have given up 284 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 519 hitters and struck out 1,145 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .342. He has 161 hits this year along with 67 RBI in 584 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .454 with an OPS+ of 109. Trey Mancini is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 155 hits in 556 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .523. The Orioles as a unit have 1,266 base hits, including 228 doubles and 191 homers. Baltimore has walked 415 times this year and they have struck out on 1,329 occasions. They have had 969 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They have scored 4.38 runs per game and totaled 657 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles (-105)

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