Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 7/16/2019
Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jacob Waguespack vs. Andrew Cashner
Fenway Park is the site where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (50-43, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (35-59, 4th in AL East) on Tuesday. The line on this game has the Blue Jays coming in at +190 and the Red Sox are at -205. The over/under is set at 11.
The Blue Jays have been terrible for bettors, having gone 35-58-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 54.4% of the time, going 50-42-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a strong option for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 43-33-0 SU. The Blue Jays are covering 34.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 23-44-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a solid Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 45-45-3.
The Blue Jays are covering 37.8% of the time on the road, having gone 17-28-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston is covering 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 21-21-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been an awful Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 52-37-3.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/14/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Probable for Jul 15
7/14/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/11/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/14/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/14/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/12/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/12/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 35-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob Waguespack has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 11 strikeouts over his 9 innings pitched and he's given up 9 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 410 hitters and walked 160 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 854 base hits and 449 earned runs. They have allowed 135 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 347 batters and struck out 766. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.
As a team Toronto is hitting .231, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .307. He has 91 hits this season in 341 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .457 and an OPS+ of 103. Eric Sogard is hitting .296 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 71 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 240 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .488. The Blue Jays have 729 hits, including 143 doubles and 130 home runs. Toronto has walked 288 times so far this season and they have struck out 856 times as a unit. They have left 573 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 397 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 50-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.83, Andrew Cashner has a 9-3 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 96.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 86 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 336 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 436 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 814 base knocks and 430 earned runs this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 320 hitters and struck out 953 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .368. He has 98 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 330 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 131. Rafael Devers is hitting .325 this season and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 116 hits in 357 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He has an OPS+ of 139 and a slugging percentage of .552. The Red Sox as a unit have 900 base hits, including 190 doubles and 137 homers. Boston has walked 354 times this year and they have struck out on 784 occasions. They have had 684 men left on base and have an OPS of .805. They have scored 5.62 runs per game and totaled 523 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -205
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