Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 7/17/2019
Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
Eric Sogard and the Toronto Blue Jays (35-60, 4th in AL East) head to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (51-43, 3rd in AL East). The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays coming in at +237 and the Red Sox are at -260. The total opens at 11.
The Blue Jays have been a bad pick for MLB bettors, having gone 35-60-0 SU. Boston covers 54.3% of the time, going 51-43-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been awful for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 44-34-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 33.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 23-46-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold Over play for O/U wagerers, having gone 46-46-3.
Toronto covers 36.2% of the time away from home, having gone 17-30-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox cover 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 22-22-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a great Over play for O/U wagerers, having gone 54-37-3.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/15/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Probable for Jul 16
7/14/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/11/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/15/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/14/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/14/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 35-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 3-13 record with an earned run average of 6.22 and a WHIP of 1.75 this season. He has 79 strikeouts over his 97 innings pitched and he's given up 112 hits. He's allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 374 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 418 hitters and walked 165 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 867 base hits and 459 earned runs. They have allowed 136 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 355 batters and struck out 774. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.87.
As a team Toronto is hitting .232, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Eric Sogard is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 74 hits this season in 245 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .494 and an OPS+ of 130. Freddy Galvis is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 93 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 346 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .457. The Blue Jays have 742 hits, including 146 doubles and 131 home runs. Toronto has walked 288 times so far this season and they have struck out 858 times as a unit. They have left 580 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 405 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 51-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.43, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 10-4 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 116 strikeouts over the 109.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 111 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 436 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 827 base knocks and 437 earned runs this season. They have given up 123 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 320 hitters and struck out 955 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .380. He has 118 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 362 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .552 with an OPS+ of 138. J.D. Martinez is hitting .294 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 98 hits in 333 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .529. The Red Sox as a unit have 913 base hits, including 195 doubles and 138 homers. Boston has walked 362 times this year and they have struck out on 792 occasions. They have had 694 men left on base and have an OPS of .808. They have scored 5.67 runs per game and totaled 533 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -260
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