Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks 6/23/2019

Sunday, June 23, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Rick Porcello

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (42-35, 3rd in AL East) host the Toronto Blue Jays (27-49, 4th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Sunday, June 23, 2019. The Red Sox open this matchup at -172 while the Blue Jays are coming in at +162. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Blue Jays have been bad for MLB wagerers, having gone 27-49-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 54.5% of the time, going 42-35-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been great for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 36-28-0 SU. Toronto has gone 18-38-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 32.1% of the time.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 37-36-3.

Toronto covers 36.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 14-24-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston covers 51.4% of the time at Fenway Park, going 18-17-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a strong Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 42-32-3.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/18/2019 Justin Smoak 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/15/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/21/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/21/2019 Rafael Devers 3B Hamstring Probable for Jun 22
6/21/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/19/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/15/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 27-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 4-9 record with an earned run average of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 71 strikeouts over his 94.2 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 290 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 321 hitters and walked 133 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 682 base hits and 362 earned runs. They have allowed 111 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 624. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.89.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .224, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.5 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .228 with an on-base percentage of .287. He has 65 hits this season in 285 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .425 and an OPS+ of 90. Freddy Galvis is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .297. He has totaled 71 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 272 at bats. His OPS+ is 93 while his slugging percentage is at .423. The Blue Jays have 569 hits, including 113 doubles and 99 home runs. Toronto has walked 230 times so far this season and they have struck out 697 times as a unit. They have left 458 men on base and have a team OPS of .682. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 304 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 42-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.31, Rick Porcello has a 5-6 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 87.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 89 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 349 batters and walked 130 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 645 base knocks and 328 earned runs this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 252 hitters and struck out 780 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .310 with an OBP of .362. He has 92 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 297 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .505 with an OPS+ of 124. J.D. Martinez is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 79 hits in 266 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .541. The Red Sox as a unit have 717 base hits, including 147 doubles and 110 homers. Boston has walked 304 times this year and they have struck out on 656 occasions. They have had 566 men left on base and have an OPS of .789. They have scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 415 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +162

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