Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 4/11/2019

Thursday, April 11, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Nathan Eovaldi

The Toronto Blue Jays visit Fenway Park on Thursday, April 11, 2019 to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays and Nathan Eovaldi for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +184 and Boston at -198. The Blue Jays have a 3-9-0 over/under record and a 5-7-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 1-11-0 against the run line and have a 8-3-1 over/under record.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 3-9-0 against the over/under

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-7-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 8-3-1 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 1-11-0 against the run line

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

04/09/19 1B Justin Smoak Neck is questionable
04/03/19 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day IL (04/02)
03/31/19 P Clayton Richard Knee 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P Clay Buchholz Arm 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P David Phelps Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 LF Jonathan Davis Ankle 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Ryan Tepera Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Ryan Borucki Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 4-8 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 11 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 28 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .178 against the bullpen and they've struck out 54 hitters and walked 16 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 6.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.77. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 76 base hits and 33 earned runs. They have allowed 8 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 38 batters and struck out 126. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 2.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .193, good for 28th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .320 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .268, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 6.2 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .381. He has 13 hits this season in 39 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .641 and an OPS+ of 182. Randal Grichuk is hitting .190 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .261. He has totaled 8 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 42 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .476. The Blue Jays have 74 hits, including 18 doubles and 9 home runs. Toronto has walked 33 times so far this season and they have struck out 120 times as a unit. They have left 68 men on base and have a team OPS of .588. They score 3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 36 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 3-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 8.10, Nathan Eovaldi has a 0-0 record and a 1.80 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 10 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 12 hits. He's allowing 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 9.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 41 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 53 batters and walked 15 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 6.35. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 114 base knocks and 71 earned runs this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 41 hitters and struck out 98 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.50.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 19th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .392. He has 15 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 46 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .543 with an OPS+ of 158. Mitch Moreland is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 9 hits in 35 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 180 and a slugging percentage of .686. The Red Sox as a unit have 98 base hits, including 20 doubles and 13 homers. Boston has walked 39 times this year and they have struck out on 94 occasions. They have had 83 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They have scored 4.25 runs per game and totaled 51 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +184

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