Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 7/19/2019
Friday, July 19, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Jordan Zimmermann
Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (36-61, 4th in AL East) are headed to Comerica Park on Friday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (29-62, 5th in AL Central). The Tigers open this game at +137 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -147. The over/under has been set at 10.
The Blue Jays have been awful for bettors, having gone 36-61-0 SU. Detroit is covering 31.9% of the time, going 29-62-0 straight up. The Blue Jays have been good for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 12-14-0 SU. The Tigers cover 28.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 22-54-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a solid Under choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 47-47-3.
The Blue Jays cover 36.7% of the time on the road, having gone 18-31-0 straight up.
Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers cover 27.3% of the time at Comerica Park, going 12-32-0 SU.
The Tigers have been a solid Under choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 42-44-5.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/14/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/11/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/17/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Finger Probable for Jul 18
7/16/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/13/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/13/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/12/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 36-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 5-10 record with an earned run average of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 88 strikeouts over his 110.2 innings pitched and he's given up 107 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 377 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 422 hitters and walked 169 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 890 base hits and 468 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 365 batters and struck out 786. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.88.
As a team Toronto is hitting .233, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .307. He has 95 hits this season in 354 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 101. Eric Sogard is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 76 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 254 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .488. The Blue Jays have 761 hits, including 149 doubles and 136 home runs. Toronto has walked 298 times so far this season and they have struck out 873 times as a unit. They have left 594 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 419 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Detroit has a 29-62 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.01, Jordan Zimmermann has a 0-6 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 52.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 69 hits. He's allowing 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 354 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 294 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 871 base knocks and 464 earned runs this season. They have given up 140 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 294 hitters and struck out 727 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .344. He has 101 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 357 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .473 with an OPS+ of 114. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 88 hits in 304 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .382. The Tigers as a unit have 732 base hits, including 176 doubles and 83 homers. Detroit has walked 245 times this year and they have struck out on 895 occasions. They have had 610 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They have scored 3.66 runs per game and totaled 337 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Tigers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +137
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