Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 7/21/2019
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jacob Waguespack vs. Tyler Alexander
Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (37-62, 4th in AL East) travel to Comerica Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Detroit Tigers (29-64, 5th in AL Central). The Tigers open this game at +112 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -122. The total opens at 10.
The Blue Jays have been a lousy play for bettors, having gone 37-62-0 SU. Detroit is covering 31.2% of the time, going 29-64-0 straight up. The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal play for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 13-14-0 SU. Detroit has gone 22-56-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 28.2% of the time.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a decent Under pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 48-48-3.
The Blue Jays are covering 37.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 19-32-0 straight up.
Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
Detroit is covering 26.7% of the time at Comerica Park, going 12-33-0 SU.
The Tigers have been a decent Under pick for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 44-44-5.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/18/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/14/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/3/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/16/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/13/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/12/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 37-62 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob Waguespack has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 13 strikeouts over his 13.2 innings pitched and he's given up 15 hits. He's allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.32. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 432 hitters and walked 174 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 905 base hits and 474 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 370 batters and struck out 802. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.87.
As a team Toronto is hitting .233, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .307. He has 98 hits this season in 363 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 101. Eric Sogard is hitting .304 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 260 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .492. The Blue Jays have 778 hits, including 151 doubles and 137 home runs. Toronto has walked 305 times so far this season and they have struck out 900 times as a unit. They have left 606 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 431 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Detroit has a 29-64 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.60, Tyler Alexander has a 0-0 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 5 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 364 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 302 batters and walked 153 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 894 base knocks and 481 earned runs this season. They have given up 143 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 301 hitters and struck out 748 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .340. He has 102 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 364 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .467 with an OPS+ of 111. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 89 hits in 310 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 94 and a slugging percentage of .377. The Tigers as a unit have 748 base hits, including 178 doubles and 85 homers. Detroit has walked 247 times this year and they have struck out on 916 occasions. They have had 623 men left on base and have an OPS of .677. They have scored 3.63 runs per game and totaled 341 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Tigers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +112
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