Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros MLB Picks 6/15/2019
Saturday, June 15, 2019
Minute Maid Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Clayton Richard vs. Framber Valdez
Minute Maid Park is the venue where Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros (46-23, 1st in AL West) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (25-43, 4th in AL East) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays priced at +194 and the Astros are at -210. The total is set at 9.5.
The Blue Jays have been terrible for baseball wagerers, having gone 25-43-0 SU. The Astros are covering 66.7% of the time, going 46-23-0 straight up. The Astros have been a strong bet for bettors as a favorite, going 45-22-0 SU. Toronto is covering 33.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 16-32-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 31-35-2.
The Blue Jays are covering 38.2% of the time as a visitor, having gone 13-21-0 straight up.
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros are covering 71.4% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 25-10-0 SU.
The Astros have been a very good Under bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 29-38-2.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/13/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/12/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/31/2019 David Phelps RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/19/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Houston Astros Injuries
6/13/2019 Josh James RP Lat Probable for Jun 14
6/12/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/10/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/10/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
6/5/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 25-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Clayton Richard has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 7.04 and a WHIP of 1.76 this season. He has 11 strikeouts over his 15.1 innings pitched and he's given up 16 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 285 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 590 base hits and 306 earned runs. They have allowed 94 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 262 batters and struck out 562. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.75.
As a team Toronto is hitting .222, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .221 with an on-base percentage of .280. He has 56 hits this season in 253 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .411 and an OPS+ of 86. Freddy Galvis is hitting .238 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .277. He has totaled 57 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 240 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .404. The Blue Jays have 504 hits, including 104 doubles and 83 home runs. Toronto has walked 201 times so far this season and they have struck out 616 times as a unit. They have left 408 men on base and have a team OPS of .672. They score 3.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 264 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Houston has a 46-23 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.73, Framber Valdez has a 2-2 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 33 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 27 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 247 batters and walked 83 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.52. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 484 base knocks and 244 earned runs this season. They have given up 99 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 188 hitters and struck out 699 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.08 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Alex Bregman comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .398. He has 65 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 240 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .538 with an OPS+ of 150. Michael Brantley is hitting .316 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 81 hits in 256 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Astros as a unit have 621 base hits, including 124 doubles and 110 homers. Houston has walked 260 times this year and they have struck out on 474 occasions. They have had 474 men left on base and have an OPS of .809. They have scored 5.14 runs per game and totaled 355 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +194
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks