Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros MLB Picks 6/16/2019

Sunday, June 16, 2019
Minute Maid Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Trent Thornton vs. Brad Peacock
Minute Maid Park is the venue where Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (47-23, 1st in AL West) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (25-44, 4th in AL East) on Sunday. The line on this game has the Blue Jays coming in at +184 and the Astros are at -198. The O/U has been set at 8.5.
The Blue Jays have been a terrible play for baseball wagerers, having gone 25-44-0 SU. Houston covers 67.1% of the time, going 47-23-0 straight up. The Astros have been strong for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 46-22-0 SU. Toronto covers 32.6% of the time as the underdog, having gone 16-33-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a solid Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 32-35-2.
Toronto covers 37.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 13-22-0 straight up.
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros are covering 72.2% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 26-10-0 SU.
The Astros have been a very good Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 30-38-2.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
6/14/2019 David Phelps RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/14/2019 Vladimir Guerrero 3B Hand Probable for Jun 15
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/13/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/12/2019 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/19/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Houston Astros Injuries
6/14/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/14/2019 Jake Marisnick CF Knee Probable for Jun 15
6/14/2019 Josh James RP Lat Probable for Jun 15
6/12/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/10/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/10/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 25-44 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trent Thornton has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 73 strikeouts over his 69.2 innings pitched and he's given up 64 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen and they've struck out 292 hitters and walked 121 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 602 base hits and 321 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 269 batters and struck out 573. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.
Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Toronto is hitting .221, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .243 with an on-base percentage of .284. He has 59 hits this season in 243 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .407 and an OPS+ of 86. Randal Grichuk is hitting .218 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .276. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 257 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .405. The Blue Jays have 509 hits, including 105 doubles and 83 home runs. Toronto has walked 203 times so far this season and they have struck out 629 times as a unit. They have left 414 men on base and have a team OPS of .668. They score 3.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 266 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Houston has a 47-23 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.42, Brad Peacock has a 6-3 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 71 strikeouts over the 71 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 56 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 176 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 250 batters and walked 83 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.5. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 489 base knocks and 246 earned runs this season. They have given up 99 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 190 hitters and struck out 712 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.07 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.
Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting StrategyHitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .313 with an OBP of .372. He has 81 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 259 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .510 with an OPS+ of 135. Alex Bregman is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .399. He has collected 66 hits in 243 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .547. The Astros as a unit have 633 base hits, including 125 doubles and 114 homers. Houston has walked 267 times this year and they have struck out on 485 occasions. They have had 479 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They have scored 5.29 runs per game and totaled 370 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +184
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks