Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals Expert MLB Picks 7/29/2019
Monday, July 29, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Thomas Pannone vs. Brad Keller
Alex Gordon and the Kansas City Royals (39-67, 4th in AL Central) play the Toronto Blue Jays (40-66, 4th in AL East) at Kauffman Stadium on Monday, July 29, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Blue Jays coming in at +120 and the Royals are at -130. The total opens at 10.5.
The Blue Jays have been a terrible pick for MLB wagerers, having gone 40-66-0 SU. The Royals are covering 36.8% of the time, going 39-67-0 straight up. The Royals have been an excellent pick for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 9-7-0 SU. Toronto is covering 33.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 26-51-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been an inconsistent Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 51-52-3.
Toronto is covering 37.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 20-33-0 straight up.
Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
Kansas City is covering 39.6% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 21-32-0 SU.
The Royals have been a pretty good Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 52-48-6.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/28/2019 Justin Shafer RP Elbow Probable for Jul 28
7/27/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
7/26/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/25/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 40-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Thomas Pannone has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 6.39 and a WHIP of 1.51 this season. He has 43 strikeouts over his 43.2 innings pitched and he's given up 44 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 466 hitters and walked 183 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 973 base hits and 505 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 390 batters and struck out 866. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.78.
As a team Toronto is hitting .232, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .300. He has 105 hits this season in 395 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 96. Eric Sogard is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 86 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 287 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .477. The Blue Jays have 829 hits, including 163 doubles and 149 home runs. Toronto has walked 324 times so far this season and they have struck out 963 times as a unit. They have left 641 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 457 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Kansas City has a 39-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.95, Brad Keller has a 7-9 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 132 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 122 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 382 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 347 batters and walked 164 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 988 base knocks and 516 earned runs this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 378 hitters and struck out 816 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.76.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Alex Gordon comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .358. He has 107 hits this year along with 60 RBI in 375 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 112. Whit Merrifield is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 134 hits in 444 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .486. The Royals as a unit have 894 base hits, including 185 doubles and 101 homers. Kansas City has walked 303 times this year and they have struck out on 910 occasions. They have had 695 men left on base and have an OPS of .712. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 456 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Royals MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals -130
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