» MLB Picks » Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals MLB Picks 7/30/2019

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals MLB Picks 7/30/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 7/29/2019

Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sean Reid-Foley vs. Mike Montgomery

Kauffman Stadium is the venue where Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (40-67, 4th in AL Central) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (40-67, 4th in AL East) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays coming in at +100 and the Royals are at -110. The over/under opens at 9.5.

The Blue Jays have been a lousy choice for bettors, having gone 40-67-0 SU. Kansas City covers 37.4% of the time, going 40-67-0 straight up. The Royals have been great for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 9-7-0 SU. Toronto covers 33.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 26-52-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a dicey Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 52-52-3.

The Blue Jays cover 37.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 20-33-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals cover 40.7% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 22-32-0 SU.

The Royals have been a solid Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 53-48-6.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

7/28/2019 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/27/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
7/24/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Clayton Richard SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/23/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

7/26/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/25/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 40-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sean Reid-Foley has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 12.2 innings pitched and he's given up 11 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 422 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 473 hitters and walked 187 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 989 base hits and 515 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 394 batters and struck out 883. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .233, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Eric Sogard is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 86 hits this season in 287 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .477 and an OPS+ of 124. Freddy Galvis is hitting .265 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .299. He has totaled 106 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 400 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .435. The Blue Jays have 841 hits, including 165 doubles and 151 home runs. Toronto has walked 330 times so far this season and they have struck out 974 times as a unit. They have left 650 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 466 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 40-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.09, Mike Montgomery has a 1-3 record and a 1.77 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 34 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 46 hits. He's allowing 12.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 383 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 348 batters and walked 165 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 996 base knocks and 521 earned runs this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 381 hitters and struck out 822 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .303 with an OBP of .357. He has 136 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 449 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .488 with an OPS+ of 121. Alex Gordon is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 109 hits in 380 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .447. The Royals as a unit have 906 base hits, including 188 doubles and 102 homers. Kansas City has walked 307 times this year and they have struck out on 921 occasions. They have had 702 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 465 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +100

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less