Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks 4/15/2019

Monday, April 15, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Shoemaker vs. Martin Perez

The Toronto Blue Jays visit Target Field on Monday, April 15, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Matt Shoemaker for the Blue Jays and Martin Perez for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +110 and Minnesota at -130. The Blue Jays have a 5-10-0 over/under record and a 7-8-0 run line mark. The Twins are 5-6-0 against the run line and have a 6-5-0 over/under record.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-10-0 against the over/under

The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-8-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 6-5-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 5-6-0 against the run line

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

04/03/19 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day IL (04/02)
03/31/19 P Clayton Richard Knee 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P David Phelps Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 LF Jonathan Davis Ankle 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Ryan Tepera Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Ryan Borucki Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 5-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Shoemaker has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 0.92 and a WHIP of 0.71 this season. He has 19 strikeouts over his 19.2 innings pitched and he's given up 9 hits. He's allowed 4.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 41 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .200 against the bullpen and they've struck out 69 hitters and walked 25 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.3. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 108 base hits and 49 earned runs. They have allowed 14 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 53 batters and struck out 151. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.64.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .201, good for 28th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .339 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .280, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.4 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .192 with an on-base percentage of .276. He has 10 hits this season in 52 at bats with 6 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .442 and an OPS+ of 95. Freddy Galvis is hitting .346 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 52 at bats. His OPS+ is 181 while his slugging percentage is at .654. The Blue Jays have 96 hits, including 23 doubles and 13 home runs. Toronto has walked 45 times so far this season and they have struck out 155 times as a unit. They have left 81 men on base and have a team OPS of .618. They score 3.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 52 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 7-4 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.56, Martin Perez has a 1-0 record and a 2.40 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 8.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 11.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 37 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 39 batters and walked 28 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 79 base knocks and 46 earned runs this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 48 hitters and struck out 98 batters. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league. The Twins hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .483. He has 6 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 21 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .524 with an OPS+ of 179. Willians Astudillo is hitting .348 this season and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 8 hits in 23 at bats while driving in 4 runs. He has an OPS+ of 168 and a slugging percentage of .609. The Twins as a unit have 100 base hits, including 23 doubles and 14 homers. Minnesota has walked 33 times this year and they have struck out on 85 occasions. They have had 70 men left on base and have an OPS of .804. They have scored 5.36 runs per game and totaled 59 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -130

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