Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 7/14/2019
Sunday, July 14, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Masahiro Tanaka
DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees (58-31, 1st in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (34-58, 4th in AL East) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, July 14, 2019. The Blue Jays open this matchup at +188 while the Yankees are priced at -203. The O/U opens at 10.
The Blue Jays have been terrible for MLB bettors, having gone 34-58-0 SU. The Yankees cover 65.2% of the time, going 58-31-0 straight up. The Yankees have been a strong option for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 51-20-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 33.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-44-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a solid Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 45-44-3.
The Blue Jays cover 36.4% of the time as the road team, having gone 16-28-0 straight up.
Important New York Yankees Betting Trends
New York is covering 69.6% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 32-14-0 SU.
The Yankees have been an excellent Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 48-38-3.
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/11/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/3/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key New York Yankees Injuries
7/12/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
7/12/2019 Luke Voit 1B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/12/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/30/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/27/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 34-58 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 81 strikeouts over his 104.2 innings pitched and he's given up 100 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 357 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 400 hitters and walked 157 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 836 base hits and 444 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 342 batters and struck out 748. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.89.
As a team Toronto is hitting .232, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Freddy Galvis is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .308. He has 90 hits this season in 334 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .464 and an OPS+ of 104. Eric Sogard is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 69 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 232 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .478. The Blue Jays have 715 hits, including 142 doubles and 128 home runs. Toronto has walked 285 times so far this season and they have struck out 837 times as a unit. They have left 558 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 393 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 58-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.86, Masahiro Tanaka has a 5-5 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 105 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 99 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 319 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 383 batters and walked 134 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 754 base knocks and 361 earned runs this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 267 hitters and struck out 825 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Yankees hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. DJ LeMahieu comes into this matchup batting .332 with an OBP of .378. He has 113 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 340 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .512 with an OPS+ of 134. Gleyber Torres is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 90 hits in 304 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 135 and a slugging percentage of .533. The Yankees as a unit have 805 base hits, including 141 doubles and 149 homers. New York has walked 329 times this year and they have struck out on 790 occasions. They have had 581 men left on base and have an OPS of .804. They have scored 5.7 runs per game and totaled 507 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees -203
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