Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: T.J. Zeuch vs. James Paxton

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (62-91, 4th in AL East) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (100-54, 1st in AL East). The Yankees open this contest at -310 while the Blue Jays are priced at +275. The over/under opens at 10.

The Blue Jays have been less than ideal for baseball wagerers, having gone 62-91-0 SU. New York covers 64.9% of the time, going 100-54-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a good Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 71-75-7.

Toronto covers 39.7% of the time away from home, having gone 31-47-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees cover 70.5% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 55-23-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a good Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 81-67-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/19/2019 Bo Bichette SS Concussion Probable for Sep 20
9/19/2019 Jordan Romano RP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/18/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/19/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/19/2019 Aaron Judge RF Shoulder Probable for Sep 20
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Out for the season
9/17/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/13/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/13/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 62-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher T.J. Zeuch has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.61 this season. He has 10 strikeouts over his 13.2 innings pitched and he's given up 14 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 627 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 681 hitters and walked 301 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,366 base hits and 717 earned runs. They have allowed 210 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 571 batters and struck out 1,236. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.81.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .234 with an on-base percentage of .284. He has 130 hits this season in 555 at bats with 76 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .461 and an OPS+ of 95. Justin Smoak is hitting .206 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 399 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .398. The Blue Jays have 1,230 hits, including 254 doubles and 230 home runs. Toronto has walked 483 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,417 times as a unit. They have left 947 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 685 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 100-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.88, James Paxton has a 14-6 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 178 strikeouts over the 143.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 132 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 564 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 688 batters and walked 247 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,306 base knocks and 658 earned runs this season. They have given up 236 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 482 hitters and struck out 1,440 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Yankees hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Aaron Judge comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .380. He has 95 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 353 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .518 with an OPS+ of 138. Gleyber Torres is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 150 hits in 526 at bats while driving in 90 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .549. The Yankees as a unit have 1,433 base hits, including 277 doubles and 292 homers. New York has walked 548 times this year and they have struck out on 1,348 occasions. They have had 1,002 men left on base and have an OPS of .834. They have scored 5.88 runs per game and totaled 905 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees (-310)

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