Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 9/22/2019

Sunday, September 22, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trent Thornton vs. Luis Severino

Yankee Stadium is the venue where Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees (100-55, 1st in AL East) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (63-91, 4th in AL East) on Sunday. The Blue Jays open this contest at +283 while the Yankees are priced at -320. The over/under has been set at 9.5.

The Blue Jays have been inconsistent for baseball bettors, having gone 63-91-0 SU. New York is covering 64.5% of the time, going 100-55-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 71-76-7.

The Blue Jays are covering 40.5% of the time away from home, having gone 32-47-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

New York is covering 69.6% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 55-24-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 81-68-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/20/2019 Bo Bichette SS Head Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/19/2019 Jordan Romano RP Ankle Probable for Sep 21
9/18/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/21/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Out for the season
9/20/2019 Gleyber Torres SS Lower Leg Probable for Sep 21
9/20/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/19/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Out for the season
9/17/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 63-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trent Thornton has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 138 strikeouts over his 144.1 innings pitched and he's given up 150 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 629 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 687 hitters and walked 302 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,372 base hits and 720 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 573 batters and struck out 1,248. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.81.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .206 with an on-base percentage of .343. He has 83 hits this season in 402 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .405 and an OPS+ of 101. Randal Grichuk is hitting .233 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .282. He has totaled 130 hits and he has driven in 76 men in 559 at bats. His OPS+ is 93 while his slugging percentage is at .458. The Blue Jays have 1,237 hits, including 256 doubles and 232 home runs. Toronto has walked 485 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,429 times as a unit. They have left 951 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 689 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 100-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 0.00, Luis Severino has a 0-0 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 2 hits. He's allowing 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 567 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 696 batters and walked 249 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,313 base knocks and 662 earned runs this season. They have given up 238 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 484 hitters and struck out 1,452 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .492 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Gleyber Torres comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .343. He has 150 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 529 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .546 with an OPS+ of 133. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .384. He has collected 97 hits in 356 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 142 and a slugging percentage of .531. The Yankees as a unit have 1,439 base hits, including 279 doubles and 294 homers. New York has walked 550 times this year and they have struck out on 1,360 occasions. They have had 1,006 men left on base and have an OPS of .833. They have scored 5.86 runs per game and totaled 908 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees (-320)

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