Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves MLB Tips 7/18/2019
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Julio Teheran
Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals (50-43, 2nd in NL East) travel to SunTrust Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (58-38, 1st in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Nationals coming in at -125 and the Braves are at +115. The over/under is set at 9.5.
The Nationals have been a pretty good play for bettors, having gone 50-43-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 60.4% of the time, going 58-38-0 straight up. The Nationals have been terrible for oddsmakers as the favorite, going 38-26-0 SU. Atlanta has went 13-17-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 43.3% of the time.
Valuable Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have been an inconsistent Over pick for over/under bettors, having gone 43-44-6.
The Nationals are covering 51.1% of the time as the visitor, having gone 24-23-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves are covering 59.6% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 28-19-0 SU.
The Braves have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 49-42-5.
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
7/17/2019 Juan Soto LF Lower Leg Probable for Jul 17
7/16/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/13/2019 Max Scherzer SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/12/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
6/25/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/16/2019 Max Fried SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/15/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/15/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/5/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Nationals have a 50-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 11-4 record with an earned run average of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.05 this season. He has 144 strikeouts over his 122.1 innings pitched and he's given up 99 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.86 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen and they've struck out 275 hitters and walked 121 batters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 774 base hits and 392 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 286 batters and struck out 883. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.
As a team Washington is hitting .255, good for 14th in the league. The Nationals hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Adam Eaton is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 94 hits this season in 337 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .383 and an OPS+ of 92. Anthony Rendon is hitting .309 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 90 hits and he has driven in 62 men in 291 at bats. His OPS+ is 151 while his slugging percentage is at .608. The Nationals have 801 hits, including 155 doubles and 128 home runs. Washington has walked 310 times so far this season and they have struck out 785 times as a unit. They have left 636 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 459 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 58-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.71, Julio Teheran has a 5-6 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 106.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 89 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 327 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 374 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 835 base knocks and 402 earned runs this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 356 hitters and struck out 822 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.52.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .290 with an OBP of .373. He has 110 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 379 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .509 with an OPS+ of 123. Freddie Freeman is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 112 hits in 371 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .582. The Braves as a unit have 868 base hits, including 167 doubles and 151 homers. Atlanta has walked 342 times this year and they have struck out on 832 occasions. They have had 665 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 512 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Nationals/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves +115
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Josh Schonwald
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks