Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Baseball Betting Tips 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Elieser Hernandez

Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (53-99, 5th in NL East) host the Washington Nationals (83-68, 2nd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Saturday, September 21, 2019. The Nationals open this game at -240 while the Marlins are priced at +220. The over/under has been set at 8.

The Nationals have been dicey for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 83-68-0 SU. The Marlins cover 34.9% of the time, going 53-99-0 straight up.

Valuable Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have been a hot and cold Under option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 69-73-9.

The Nationals cover 52.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 41-37-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami covers 37.2% of the time at Marlins Park, going 29-49-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a hot and cold Under option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 73-70-9.

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/18/2019 Matt Adams 1B Shoulder Probable for Sep 20
9/18/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Out for the season
9/14/2019 Joe Ross RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/14/2019 Kurt Suzuki C Elbow Probable for Sep 20
9/7/2019 Roenis Elias RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/4/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/18/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/18/2019 Jordan Yamamoto SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Probable for Sep 20
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/11/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/9/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/5/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Nationals have a 83-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 17-6 record with an earned run average of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.06 this season. He has 235 strikeouts over his 196 innings pitched and he's given up 154 hits. He's allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.86 and they have given up 496 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen and they've struck out 468 hitters and walked 209 batters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 1,268 base hits and 647 earned runs. They have allowed 189 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 489 batters and struck out 1,410. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Washington is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Nationals hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Juan Soto is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .402. He has 150 hits this season in 514 at bats with 106 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .568 and an OPS+ of 142. Anthony Rendon is hitting .330 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .414. He has totaled 171 hits and he has driven in 119 men in 518 at bats. His OPS+ is 158 while his slugging percentage is at .622. The Nationals have 1,354 hits, including 277 doubles and 215 home runs. Washington has walked 532 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,212 times as a unit. They have left 1,036 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 5.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 800 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 53-99 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.03, Elieser Hernandez has a 3-5 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 82.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 76 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 495 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 523 batters and walked 245 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,242 base knocks and 709 earned runs this season. They have given up 224 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 567 hitters and struck out 1,292 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .298. He has 160 hits this year along with 79 RBI in 597 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 90. Miguel Rojas is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 127 hits in 446 at bats while driving in 45 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .383. The Marlins as a unit have 1,238 base hits, including 244 doubles and 132 homers. Miami has walked 375 times this year and they have struck out on 1,376 occasions. They have had 974 men left on base and have an OPS of .670. They have scored 3.76 runs per game and totaled 572 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Nationals/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+220)

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