Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins MLB Point Spread Picks 6/27/2019

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Sandy Alcantara

Marlins Park is the venue where Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (30-47, 5th in NL East) will play the Washington Nationals (38-40, 3rd in NL East) on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Nationals priced at -200 and the Marlins are at +185. The over/under has been set at 7.5.

The Nationals have been pretty good for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 38-40-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 39.0% of the time, going 30-47-0 straight up. The Nationals have been dicey for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 27-23-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 38.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 29-46-0 straight up.

Valuable Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have been a less than ideal Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 39-33-6.

Washington covers 44.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 17-21-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are covering 33.3% of the time at Marlins Park, going 13-26-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a good Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 34-39-4.

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

6/25/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/24/2019 Ryan Zimmerman 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/21/2019 Rafael Bautista RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/16/2019 Kyle Barraclough RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
6/13/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/25/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/25/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/24/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/21/2019 Jorge Alfaro C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/20/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/7/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Nationals have a 38-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.08 this season. He has 120 strikeouts over his 102 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.26 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 236 hitters and walked 104 batters. As a team, Washington allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 661 base hits and 353 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 250 batters and struck out 733. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Washington is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league. The Nationals hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Anthony Rendon is hitting .314 with an on-base percentage of .406. He has 74 hits this season in 236 at bats with 53 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .631 and an OPS+ of 161. Adam Eaton is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 77 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 284 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .384. The Nationals have 668 hits, including 124 doubles and 108 home runs. Washington has walked 253 times so far this season and they have struck out 673 times as a unit. They have left 517 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.99 runs per contest and have scored a total of 389 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 30-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.51, Sandy Alcantara has a 4-6 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 64 strikeouts over the 89.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 84 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 266 batters and walked 126 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 628 base knocks and 326 earned runs this season. They have given up 89 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 280 hitters and struck out 660 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .353 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .344. He has 72 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 258 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .341 with an OPS+ of 91. Brian Anderson is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 73 hits in 287 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .415. The Marlins as a unit have 619 base hits, including 118 doubles and 60 homers. Miami has walked 188 times this year and they have struck out on 683 occasions. They have had 503 men left on base and have an OPS of .649. They have scored 3.48 runs per game and totaled 268 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Nationals/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals -200

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