Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins MLB Point Spread Picks 9/12/2019
Thursday, September 12, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Kyle Gibson
Juan Soto and the Washington Nationals (79-64, 2nd in NL East) travel to Target Field on Thursday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (89-55, 1st in AL Central). The line on this game has the Nationals priced at -110 and the Twins are at +100. The O/U has been set at 10.
The Nationals have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 79-64-0 SU. The Twins are covering 61.8% of the time, going 89-55-0 straight up.
Valuable Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals have been a dicey Under play for over/under wagerers, having gone 67-68-8.
Washington covers 52.0% of the time away from home, having gone 38-35-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins are covering 56.9% of the time at Target Field, going 41-31-0 SU.
The Twins have been a dicey Under play for over/under wagerers, having gone 72-65-7.
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
9/10/2019 Joe Ross RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/10/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/10/2019 Kurt Suzuki C Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/7/2019 Roenis Elias RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/4/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
9/10/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/10/2019 Jake Cave RF Groin Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Miguel Sano 3B Back Probable for Sep 11
9/6/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Nationals have a 79-64 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Patrick Corbin has a 11-7 record with an earned run average of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. He has 210 strikeouts over his 179.2 innings pitched and he's given up 145 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.83 and they have given up 469 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 444 hitters and walked 193 batters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 1,199 base hits and 615 earned runs. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 458 batters and struck out 1,333. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
As a team Washington is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Nationals hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Juan Soto is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .404. He has 144 hits this season in 488 at bats with 101 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .576 and an OPS+ of 144. Anthony Rendon is hitting .335 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .417. He has totaled 164 hits and he has driven in 114 men in 489 at bats. His OPS+ is 159 while his slugging percentage is at .628. The Nationals have 1,286 hits, including 263 doubles and 206 home runs. Washington has walked 503 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,165 times as a unit. They have left 983 men on base and have a team OPS of .793. They score 5.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 765 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 89-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.58, Kyle Gibson has a 13-6 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 146 strikeouts over the 149.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 157 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 500 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 520 batters and walked 164 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,286 base knocks and 599 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 1,279 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .337. He has 130 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 515 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .522 with an OPS+ of 124. Jorge Polanco is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 171 hits in 573 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .485. The Twins as a unit have 1,378 base hits, including 284 doubles and 276 homers. Minnesota has walked 467 times this year and they have struck out on 1,200 occasions. They have had 994 men left on base and have an OPS of .834. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 838 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Nationals/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals (-110)
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