Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins MLB Tips 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Martin Perez

Target Field is the venue where Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (88-55, 1st in AL Central) will take on the Washington Nationals (79-63, 2nd in NL East) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Nationals priced at -139 and the Twins are at +129. The total has been set at 10.5.

The Nationals have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 79-63-0 SU. The Twins are covering 61.5% of the time, going 88-55-0 straight up.

Valuable Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have been an inconsistent Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 67-67-8.

The Nationals are covering 52.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 38-34-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota is covering 56.3% of the time at Target Field, going 40-31-0 SU.

The Twins have been an inconsistent Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 72-64-7.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/8/2019 Kurt Suzuki C Elbow Probable for Sep 10
9/7/2019 Roenis Elias RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/6/2019 Adrian Sanchez 3B Illness Probable for Sep 10
9/6/2019 Joe Ross RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/4/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/9/2019 Sergio Romo RP Knee Probable for Sep 10
9/8/2019 Miguel Sano 3B Back Probable for Sep 10
9/8/2019 Jake Cave RF Groin Probable for Sep 10
9/8/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Probable for Sep 10
9/8/2019 Nelson Cruz DH Wrist Probable for Sep 10
9/7/2019 Kyle Gibson SP Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/6/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/6/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Nationals have a 79-63 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 16-6 record with an earned run average of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.05 this season. He has 222 strikeouts over his 185 innings pitched and he's given up 147 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.78 and they have given up 467 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen and they've struck out 442 hitters and walked 191 batters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 1,193 base hits and 610 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 455 batters and struck out 1,326. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Washington is hitting .264, good for 7th in the league. The Nationals hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Anthony Rendon is hitting .337 with an on-base percentage of .417. He has 164 hits this season in 487 at bats with 114 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .630 and an OPS+ of 160. Juan Soto is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .406. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 101 men in 485 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .579. The Nationals have 1,284 hits, including 263 doubles and 206 home runs. Washington has walked 502 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,159 times as a unit. They have left 981 men on base and have a team OPS of .796. They score 5.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 765 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 88-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.75, Martin Perez has a 10-6 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 121 strikeouts over the 147.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 155 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 500 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 518 batters and walked 164 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,284 base knocks and 599 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 401 hitters and struck out 1,273 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .496 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .362. He has 170 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 569 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .485 with an OPS+ of 123. Max Kepler is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .337. He has collected 130 hits in 515 at bats while driving in 90 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .522. The Twins as a unit have 1,372 base hits, including 281 doubles and 275 homers. Minnesota has walked 464 times this year and they have struck out on 1,193 occasions. They have had 989 men left on base and have an OPS of .835. They have scored 5.83 runs per game and totaled 833 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Nationals/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (+129)

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