Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Predictions, Picks, MLB Spring Training Odds 3/7/2020
Saturday, March 7, 2020
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs. Joey Lucchesi
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick on Saturday, March 7, 2020 to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks and Joey Lucchesi for the Padres.
The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at -155 and San Diego at +135. The Diamondbacks had a 76-76-10 over/under record and a 85-77-0 run line mark last season. The Padres were 70-92-0 against the run line and had a 73-76-13 over/under record.
Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks were 76-76-10 against the over/under last year
The Arizona Diamondbacks were 85-77-0 against the run line last season
Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres were 73-76-13 against the over/under last year
The San Diego Padres were 70-92-0 against the run line last season
Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries
3/1/2020 Mike Leake SP Wrist Questionable for start of season
11/5/2020 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
11/5/2020 Corbin Martin SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
3/5/2020 Tommy Pham LF Side Probable for start of season
3/5/2020 Fernando Tatis SS Illness Probable for start of season
3/4/2020 Josh Naylor LF Neck Probable for start of season
2/12/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
11/5/2020 Jorge Ona CF Shoulder Questionable for start of season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Diamondbacks had a 85-77 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Merrill Kelly had a 13-14 record with an earned run average of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.32. He had 158 strikeouts over his 183.1 innings pitched and he gave up 184 hits. He allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.51. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.26 and they gave up 568 base hits on the year. Teams hit .247 against the bullpen while striking out 585 hitters and walking 235 batters. As a team, Arizona allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They were 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively gave up 1,400 base hits and 691 earned runs last year. They allowed 220 home runs last season, ranking them 17th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff walked 516 batters and struck out 1,427. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit was 4.40.
As a team Arizona hit .252, good for 14th in the league. The Diamondbacks held a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which was good for 16th in baseball. They ranked 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Starling Marte hit .295 with an on-base percentage of .342 last year. He had 159 hits last season in 539 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 120. Ketel Marte hit .329 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .389. He totaled 187 hits and he drove in 92 men in 569 at bats. His OPS+ was 149 while his slugging percentage was at .592. The Diamondbacks had 1,419 hits last season, including 288 doubles and 220 home runs. Arizona walked 540 times last year and they struck out 1,360 times as a unit. They left 1,119 men on base and had a team OPS of .757. They scored 5.02 runs per contest and scored a total of 813 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
San Diego had a 70-92 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 4.18, Joey Lucchesi had a 10-10 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He had 158 strikeouts over the 163.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 144 hits. He allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.17. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.59 and they gave up 605 base hits on the year. Teams hit .248 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers struck out 672 batters and walked 202 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They were 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Padres pitchers as a team surrendered 1,394 base knocks and 732 earned runs last season. They gave up 215 home runs last year, which ranked 19th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff walked 463 hitters and struck out 1,475 batters. They gave up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.30 while their FIP as a staff was 4.22.
As a team, they batted .238, good for 28th in the league. The Padres held a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which was good for 26th in baseball. They ranked 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup after batting .239 with an OBP of .321 last season. He had 104 hits last year along with 53 RBI in 435 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .418 with an OPS+ of 95. Manny Machado hit .256 last season and he had an OBP of .334. He collected 150 hits in 587 at bats while driving in 85 runs. He had an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Padres as a unit had 1,281 base hits last season, including 224 doubles and 219 homers. San Diego walked 504 times last year and they struck out on 1,581 occasions. They left 1,008 men on base and had an OPS of .718. They scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 682 runs last year.
Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (-155)
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