Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/14/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, September 14, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-167) Orioles (+154)

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (28-19, 1st in NL East) head to Oriole Park on Monday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (20-26, 4th in AL East). The Braves open this matchup at -167 while the Orioles are priced at +154. The over/under has been set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Touki Toussaint and Jorge Lopez.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/12/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/12/2020 Max Fried SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/11/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/13/2020 Austin Hays CF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
9/9/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 28-19 overall record this season. Toussaint (6-2 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.88 while he has gone up against 423 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.67 (58 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.542. He has surrendered 82 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 60 walks. Toussaint has taken the hill for 92 innings and has racked up 105 K's so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the bullpen and they've struck out 207 hitters and walked 76 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 377 base hits and 204 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 165 batters and struck out 379. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .450. He has 55 hits this season in 165 at bats with 43 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .618 and an OPS+ of 175. Dansby Swanson is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 54 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 182 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .478. The Braves have 428 hits, including 98 doubles and 80 home runs. Atlanta has walked 172 times so far this season and they have struck out 430 times as a unit. They have left 322 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 271 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Lopez (8-15 career record) is the owner of a 6.01 earned run average while conceding 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 and he has faced 949 opposing hitters during his career. In his MLB career, Lopez has conceded 242 hits and he has 176 punchouts in 214 innings. He has given up a total of 143 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.495 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 166 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .196 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 197 batters and walked 87 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 367 base knocks and 199 earned runs this season. They have given up 63 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 149 hitters and struck out 361 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Orioles hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Chance Sisco comes into this matchup batting .230 with an OBP of .380. He has 17 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 74 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .446 with an OPS+ of 125. Hanser Alberto is hitting .306 this season and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 52 hits in 170 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .412. The Orioles as a unit have 395 base hits, including 78 doubles and 61 homers. Baltimore has walked 126 times this year and they have struck out on 386 occasions. They have had 302 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 211 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves (-167)

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