Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/12/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Monday, October 12, 2020
Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
Odds/Point Spread: Braves (+138) Dodgers (-148)
Dodger Stadium is the site where Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) will play the Atlanta Braves (35-25, 1st in NL East) on Monday in Game 1 of the NLCS. The Braves open this contest at +138 while the Dodgers are coming in at -148. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Walker Buehler.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
9/27/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Mar 25, 2021
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
10/6/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 5
9/30/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves had a 35-25 overall record this season. Fried (26-11 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.69 and he has gone up against 1,189 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.52 (110 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.316. He has allowed 272 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 98 free passes. Fried has thrown 281 innings and has earned 289 punchouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 282 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 494 base hits and 257 earned runs. They have allowed 69 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 220 batters and struck out 506. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .268, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .341 with an on-base percentage of .462. He has 73 hits this season in 214 at bats with 53 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .640 and an OPS+ of 186. Dansby Swanson is hitting .274 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 237 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .464. The Braves have 556 hits, including 130 doubles and 103 home runs. Atlanta has walked 239 times so far this season and they have struck out 573 times as a unit. They have left 437 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 348 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 43-17 overall mark this year. Buehler (24-9 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.15 earned run average while allowing 7.0 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 4.52 and he has gone up against 1,469 batters so far in his career. During his MLB career, Buehler has surrendered 283 hits while totaling 420 strikeouts in 365 innings. He has given up a total of 128 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.030 and having a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 258 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 424 base knocks and 181 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 145 hitters and struck out 517 batters. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.06 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Cody Bellinger comes into this matchup batting .239 with an OBP of .333. He has 51 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 213 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .455 with an OPS+ of 113. Corey Seager is hitting .307 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 65 hits in 212 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .585. The Dodgers as a unit have 523 base hits, including 97 doubles and 118 homers. Los Angeles has walked 228 times this year and they have struck out on 471 occasions. They have had 391 men left on base and have an OPS of .821. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 349 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Dodgers (-148)
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