Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-155) Mets (+143)

Citi Field is the venue where Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (23-27, 4th in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (29-21, 1st in NL East) on Saturday. The Mets open this matchup at +143 while the Braves are coming in at -155. The O/U opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Ian Anderson and David Peterson.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/15/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Huascar Ynoa RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/11/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/18/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/18/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/18/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/17/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Probable for Sep 18
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/16/2020 Jacob deGrom SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 29-21 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the bullpen and they've struck out 228 hitters and walked 85 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 411 base hits and 222 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 180 batters and struck out 413. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Braves hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .352 with an on-base percentage of .465. He has 63 hits this season in 179 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .648 and an OPS+ of 188. Dansby Swanson is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 55 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 198 at bats. His OPS+ is 106 while his slugging percentage is at .444. The Braves have 462 hits, including 105 doubles and 84 home runs. Atlanta has walked 185 times so far this season and they have struck out 466 times as a unit. They have left 351 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 286 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 220 batters and walked 101 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 427 base knocks and 226 earned runs this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 464 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .280, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .215 with an OBP of .314. He has 38 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 177 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .441 with an OPS+ of 106. J.D. Davis is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 45 hits in 166 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .428. The Mets as a unit have 477 base hits, including 92 doubles and 71 homers. New York has walked 167 times this year and they have struck out on 412 occasions. They have had 379 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They have scored 5.04 runs per game and totaled 252 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (+143)

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