Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+131) Red Sox (-142)
Fenway Park is the site where Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (20-34, 5th in AL East) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (23-31, 4th in AL East) on Wednesday. The Red Sox open this game at -142 while the Orioles are priced at +131. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Dean Kremer and Nathan Eovaldi.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
9/22/2020 Dillon Tate RP Finger Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
9/22/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Out for the season
9/22/2020 Christian Arroyo 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/19/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Out for the season
9/15/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 23-31 overall record this season. Kremer has pitched in 16 innings and has tallied 20 strikeouts. His earned run average is 1.69 (3 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.063. He has given up 8 hits (4.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 9 free passes. Kremer (1-0 mark) has a FIP of 2.39 and he has gone up against 65 hitters. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the bullpen and they've struck out 223 hitters and walked 100 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 431 base hits and 227 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 175 batters and struck out 437. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.64.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .252, good for 11th in the league. The Orioles hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Pedro Severino is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .344. He has 39 hits this season in 146 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 108. Renato Nunez is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 46 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 184 at bats. His OPS+ is 112 while his slugging percentage is at .478. The Orioles have 456 hits, including 87 doubles and 69 home runs. Baltimore has walked 149 times so far this season and they have struck out 467 times as a unit. They have left 353 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 243 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
During his pro baseball career, Eovaldi has given up 1,003 base knocks and he has 754 punchouts in 960 innings pitched. He has allowed 458 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.357 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.51 and he has gone up against 4,108 hitters during his career. Eovaldi (49-56 career record) has a 4.29 ERA while surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.88 and they have given up 284 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 285 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.8. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 523 base knocks and 302 earned runs this season. They have given up 89 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 228 hitters and struck out 475 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.60 while their FIP as a staff is 5.25.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .335. He has 58 hits this year along with 36 RBI in 205 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .527 with an OPS+ of 128. J.D. Martinez is hitting .205 this season and he has an OBP of .287. He has collected 38 hits in 185 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 76 and a slugging percentage of .373. The Red Sox as a unit have 491 base hits, including 107 doubles and 73 homers. Boston has walked 159 times this year and they have struck out on 490 occasions. They have had 375 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 4.63 runs per game and totaled 250 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+131)
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