Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/24/2020

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, July 24, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+180) Red Sox (-190)

The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Friday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Tommy Milone for the Orioles and Nathan Eovaldi for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +180 and Boston at -190. The Orioles had a 80-71-11 over/under record and a 54-108-0 run line mark last season. The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the run line and had a 90-67-5 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles were 80-71-11 against the over/under last year

The Baltimore Orioles were 54-108-0 against the run line last season

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 90-67-5 against the over/under last year

The Boston Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the run line last season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/20/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Arm Questionable for start of season
7/20/2020 Anthony Santander RF Not Injury Related Questionable for start of season
7/20/2020 Stevie Wilkerson CF Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/20/2020 Dwight Smith LF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/18/2020 John Means SP Arm Questionable for start of season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
7/13/2020 Ty Blach RP Elbow Out for the season
7/12/2020 Dillon Tate RP Forearm Questionable for start of season
7/12/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Back Questionable for start of season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Nov 1
6/24/2020 Ramon Urias 2B Lower Leg Questionable for start of season
6/24/2020 Evan Phillips RP Elbow Questionable for start of season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/20/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/20/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/20/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/19/2020 Collin McHugh SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/19/2020 Xander Bogaerts SS Hamstring Questionable for start of season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 15, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles had a 54-108 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Tommy Milone had a 4-10 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.12. He had 94 strikeouts over his 111.2 innings pitched and he gave up 102 hits. He allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5. The bullpen had an earned run average of 5.79 and they gave up 695 base hits on the year. Teams hit .268 against the bullpen while striking out 625 hitters and walking 295 batters. As a team, Baltimore allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They were 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Orioles pitchers collectively gave up 1,544 base hits and 897 earned runs last year. They allowed 305 home runs last season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff walked 561 batters and struck out 1,248. They walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit was 5.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore hit .246, good for 20th in the league. The Orioles held a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Renato Nunez hit .244 with an on-base percentage of .311 last year. He had 132 hits last season in 541 at bats with 90 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .460 and an OPS+ of 101. Chris Davis hit .179 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .276. He totaled 55 hits and he drove in 36 men in 307 at bats. His OPS+ was 60 while his slugging percentage was at .326. The Orioles had 1,379 hits last season, including 252 doubles and 213 home runs. Baltimore walked 462 times last year and they struck out 1,435 times as a unit. They left 1,063 men on base and had a team OPS of .725. They scored 4.5 runs per contest and scored a total of 729 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston had a 84-78 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.99, Nathan Eovaldi had a 2-1 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He had 70 strikeouts over the 67.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 72 hits. He allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 5.9. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 599 base hits on the year. Teams hit .235 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers struck out 776 batters and walked 324 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They were 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Red Sox pitchers as a team surrendered 1,423 base knocks and 768 earned runs last season. They gave up 215 home runs last year, which ranked 18th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff walked 605 hitters and struck out 1,633 batters. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.28.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox held a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which was good for 3rd in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jackie Bradley Jr comes into this matchup after batting .225 with an OBP of .317 last season. He had 111 hits last year along with 62 RBI in 494 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 90. J.D. Martinez hit .304 last season and he had an OBP of .383. He collected 175 hits in 575 at bats while driving in 105 runs. He had an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .557. The Red Sox as a unit had 1,554 base hits last season, including 345 doubles and 245 homers. Boston walked 590 times last year and they struck out on 1,382 occasions. They left 1,170 men on base and had an OPS of .806. They scored 5.56 runs per game and totaled 901 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+180)

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