Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/27/2020

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, July 27, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: MAS2/FSFL

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+110) Marlins (-130)

The Baltimore Orioles visit Marlins Park on Monday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Asher Wojciechowski for the Orioles and Pablo Lopez for the Marlins.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +110 and Miami at -130. The Orioles had a 80-71-11 over/under record and a 54-108-0 run line mark last season. The Marlins were 57-105-0 against the run line and had a 79-73-10 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles were 80-71-11 against the over/under last year

The Baltimore Orioles were 54-108-0 against the run line last season

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins were 79-73-10 against the over/under last year

The Miami Marlins were 57-105-0 against the run line last season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/26/2020 Ramon Urias 2B Lower Leg Probable for Jul 26
7/24/2020 John Means SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/23/2020 Dillon Tate RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/20/2020 Stevie Wilkerson CF Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
7/13/2020 Ty Blach RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/26/2020 Jose Urena SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/26/2020 Will Banfield C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/24/2020 Jorge Alfaro C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/16/2020 Lewis Brinson CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2020 Matt Joyce LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles had a 54-108 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Asher Wojciechowski had a 4-8 record with an earned run average of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.31. He had 80 strikeouts over his 82.1 innings pitched and he gave up 80 hits. He allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5.3. The bullpen had an earned run average of 5.79 and they gave up 695 base hits on the year. Teams hit .268 against the bullpen while striking out 625 hitters and walking 295 batters. As a team, Baltimore allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They were 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Orioles pitchers collectively gave up 1,544 base hits and 897 earned runs last year. They allowed 305 home runs last season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff walked 561 batters and struck out 1,248. They walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit was 5.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore hit .246, good for 20th in the league. The Orioles held a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Jose Iglesias hit .288 with an on-base percentage of .318 last year. He had 145 hits last season in 504 at bats with 59 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .407 and an OPS+ of 85. Hanser Alberto hit .305 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .329. He totaled 160 hits and he drove in 51 men in 524 at bats. His OPS+ was 98 while his slugging percentage was at .422. The Orioles had 1,379 hits last season, including 252 doubles and 213 home runs. Baltimore walked 462 times last year and they struck out 1,435 times as a unit. They left 1,063 men on base and had a team OPS of .725. They scored 4.5 runs per contest and scored a total of 729 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami had a 57-105 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.09, Pablo Lopez had a 5-8 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He had 95 strikeouts over the 111.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 111 hits. He allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.28. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.97 and they gave up 537 base hits on the year. Teams hit .248 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers struck out 570 batters and walked 270 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers as a team surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 760 earned runs last season. They gave up 236 home runs last year, which ranked 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff walked 615 hitters and struck out 1,378 batters. They gave up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.35 while their FIP as a staff was 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins held a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which was good for 29th in baseball. They ranked 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup after batting .274 with an OBP of .339 last season. He had 176 hits last year along with 73 RBI in 642 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .453 with an OPS+ of 109. Miguel Rojas hit .284 last season and he had an OBP of .331. He collected 137 hits in 483 at bats while driving in 46 runs. He had an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .379. The Marlins as a unit had 1,326 base hits last season, including 265 doubles and 146 homers. Miami walked 395 times last year and they struck out on 1,469 occasions. They left 1,034 men on base and had an OPS of .673. They scored 3.8 runs per game and totaled 615 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+110)

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