Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/26/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: MAS2/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+143) Blue Jays (-155)

Sahlen Field is the venue where Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Toronto Blue Jays (30-27, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (24-33, 4th in AL East) on Saturday. The Orioles open this contest at +143 while the Blue Jays are priced at -155. The total has been set at 10. The pitchers taking the mound will be John Means and Matt Shoemaker.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/25/2020 Renato Nunez 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/23/2020 Evan Phillips RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Dillon Tate RP Finger Out for the season
9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/24/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Out for the season
9/24/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
9/23/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2020 Ken Giles RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Julian Merryweather RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Out for the season
9/16/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Out for the season
9/15/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 24-33 overall record this season. Means has pitched in 196 frames and is sitting with 158 K's in his career. His earned run average is 4.04 (88 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.138. He has conceded 179 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 44 walks. Means (14-14 career mark) has a FIP of 4.72 and he has gone up against 809 hitters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the bullpen and they've struck out 236 hitters and walked 106 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 462 base hits and 243 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 186 batters and struck out 462. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Orioles hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Hanser Alberto is hitting .290 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 60 hits this season in 207 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .401 and an OPS+ of 95. Rio Ruiz is hitting .225 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .293. He has totaled 39 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 173 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .434. The Orioles have 496 hits, including 96 doubles and 74 home runs. Baltimore has walked 158 times so far this season and they have struck out 496 times as a unit. They have left 382 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 260 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Shoemaker (43-33 career record) has earned a 3.86 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.67 and he has faced 2,478 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. In his career, Shoemaker has conceded 565 base knocks while he has totaled 540 strikeouts in 602 innings. He has given up a total of 258 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.183 and a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 260 batters and walked 140 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 490 base knocks and 256 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 244 hitters and struck out 501 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .333. He has 55 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 209 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 115. Bo Bichette is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 35 hits in 115 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .530. The Blue Jays as a unit have 489 base hits, including 101 doubles and 82 homers. Toronto has walked 197 times this year and they have struck out on 483 occasions. They have had 376 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They have scored 4.95 runs per game and totaled 282 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+143)

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