Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: MAS2/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+125) Blue Jays (-135)

Sahlen Field is the venue where Bo Bichette and the Toronto Blue Jays (31-27, 3rd in AL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (24-34, 4th in AL East) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Orioles coming in at +125 and the Blue Jays are at -135. The total opens at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Keegan Akin and Tanner Roark.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/26/2020 Renato Nunez 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2020 Evan Phillips RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Dillon Tate RP Finger Out for the season
9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/26/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/24/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
9/24/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Out for the season
9/23/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2020 Ken Giles RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Julian Merryweather RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Out for the season
9/16/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Out for the season
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 24-34 overall record this season. Akin has thrown 22 innings and is sitting with 31 K's. His ERA is 3.65 (9 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.396. He has conceded 22 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) with 9 free passes. Akin (1-2 record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.34 while he has faced 101 hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 205 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .196 against the bullpen and they've struck out 238 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 477 base hits and 253 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 188 batters and struck out 465. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Orioles hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Rio Ruiz is hitting .220 with an on-base percentage of .287. He has 39 hits this season in 177 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .424 and an OPS+ of 93. Hanser Alberto is hitting .294 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 62 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 211 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .408. The Orioles have 504 hits, including 97 doubles and 77 home runs. Baltimore has walked 160 times so far this season and they have struck out 503 times as a unit. They have left 387 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 265 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

So far in his career, Roark has allowed 1,102 base knocks while he has totaled 929 strikeouts in 1,143 innings. He has given up 487 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.257 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has faced 4,782 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Roark (76-67 career mark) has a 3.83 ERA and has conceded 8.7 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 247 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 263 batters and walked 142 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 498 base knocks and 261 earned runs this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 508 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Bo Bichette comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .336. He has 37 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 120 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .525 with an OPS+ of 132. Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 57 hits in 213 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .460. The Blue Jays as a unit have 504 base hits, including 102 doubles and 84 homers. Toronto has walked 199 times this year and they have struck out on 486 occasions. They have had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 5.03 runs per game and totaled 292 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+125)

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